American Airlines Group (AAL)vsCopa Holdings SA (CPA)
AAL
American Airlines Group
$12.79
-4.19%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $8.46B
CPA
Copa Holdings SA
$117.04
-4.69%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.81B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
American Airlines Group generates 1448% more annual revenue ($55.99B vs $3.62B). CPA leads profitability with a 18.6% profit margin vs 0.4%. AAL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.51. CPA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).
AAL
Hold47
out of 100
Grade: D+
CPA
Strong Buy77
out of 100
Grade: B+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+72.3%
Fair Value
$51.88
Current Price
$12.79
$39.09 discount
Margin of Safety
+15.5%
Fair Value
$178.18
Current Price
$117.04
$61.14 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Generating 3.4B in free cash flow
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.5%
Areas to Watch
ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency
0.4% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AAL
The strongest argument for AAL centers on PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.51 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : CPA
The strongest argument for CPA centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.6% and operating margin at 22.5%. PEG of 0.95 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : AAL
The primary concerns for AAL are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 41.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : CPA
The primary concerns for CPA are Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AAL profiles as a value stock while CPA is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
AAL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.28 — expect wider price swings.
AAL is growing revenue faster at 10.8% — sustainability is the question.
AAL generates stronger free cash flow (3.4B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CPA scores higher overall (77/100 vs 47/100), backed by strong 18.6% margins. AAL offers better value entry with a 72.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
American Airlines Group
INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA
American Airlines Group Inc. is an American publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Copa Holdings SA
INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA
Copa Holdings, SA, provides airline passenger and cargo services. The company is headquartered in Panama City, Panama.
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