WallStSmart

Ambev SA ADR (ABEV)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 1% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $88.21B). ABEV leads profitability with a 17.7% profit margin vs 12.9%. ABEV appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.31. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

ABEV

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.39

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ABEVUndervalued (+74.4%)

Margin of Safety

+74.4%

Fair Value

$11.91

Current Price

$3.29

$8.62 discount

UndervaluedFair: $11.91Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for PGR.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ABEV5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
Free Cash FlowQuality
$11.62B10/10

Generating 11.6B in free cash flow

Market CapQuality
$53.50B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
17.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
26.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 26.5%

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

ABEV3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.314/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
2.2%4/10

2.2% earnings growth

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.1%2/10

Revenue declined 0.1%

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ABEV

The strongest argument for ABEV centers on Free Cash Flow, Market Cap, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.7% and operating margin at 26.5%.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bear Case : ABEV

The primary concerns for ABEV are PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ABEV profiles as a declining stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

PGR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.29 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 8.7% — sustainability is the question.

ABEV generates stronger free cash flow (11.6B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (61/100 vs 57/100). ABEV offers better value entry with a 74.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ambev SA ADR

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - BREWERS · USA

Ambev SA produces, distributes and sells beer, draft beer, carbonated soft drinks (CSD), other non-alcoholic beverages, malt and food products in the Americas. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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