WallStSmart

Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)vsShopify Inc (SHOP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Automatic Data Processing Inc generates 65% more annual revenue ($21.95B vs $13.27B). ADP leads profitability with a 20.1% profit margin vs 14.5%. SHOP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.73. SHOP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

ADP

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 8.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.53

SHOP

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 6.61
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ADPSignificantly Overvalued (-66.8%)

Margin of Safety

-66.8%

Fair Value

$163.78

Current Price

$263.68

$99.90 premium

UndervaluedFair: $163.78Overvalued
SHOPUndervalued (+23.5%)

Margin of Safety

+23.5%

Fair Value

$152.79

Current Price

$147.74

$5.05 discount

UndervaluedFair: $152.79Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ADP5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
73.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 73 in profit

Market CapQuality
$106.57B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
20.1%9/10

Keeps 20 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
23.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 23.5%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.23B8/10

Generating 1.2B in free cash flow

SHOP5 strengths · Avg: 9.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
33.7%10/10

Revenue surging 33.7% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
68.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 68.1% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
6.6110/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$165.33B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

ADP4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.464/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
17.4x4/10

Trading at 17.4x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.532/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

SHOP4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.734/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
15.0x4/10

Trading at 15.0x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
86.8x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ADP

The strongest argument for ADP centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.1% and operating margin at 23.5%.

Bull Case : SHOP

The strongest argument for SHOP centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 33.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ADP

The primary concerns for ADP are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : SHOP

The primary concerns for SHOP are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 86.8x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ADP profiles as a mature stock while SHOP is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

SHOP carries more volatility with a beta of 2.62 — expect wider price swings.

SHOP is growing revenue faster at 33.7% — sustainability is the question.

ADP generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

SHOP scores higher overall (64/100 vs 62/100) and 33.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Automatic Data Processing Inc

TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is an American provider of human resources management software and services.

Shopify Inc

TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA

Shopify Inc., a commerce company, offers a commerce and service platform in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, Latin America, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

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