WallStSmart

Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)vsShopify Inc (SHOP)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Automatic Data Processing Inc generates 68% more annual revenue ($22.26B vs $13.27B). ADP leads profitability with a 20.3% profit margin vs 14.5%. SHOP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.36. ADP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

ADP

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 8.5Value: 3.3Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.53

SHOP

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 6.69
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ADPSignificantly Overvalued (-79.9%)

Margin of Safety

-79.9%

Fair Value

$168.59

Current Price

$303.35

$134.76 premium

UndervaluedFair: $168.59Overvalued
SHOPUndervalued (+22.4%)

Margin of Safety

+22.4%

Fair Value

$150.73

Current Price

$148.91

$1.82 discount

UndervaluedFair: $150.73Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ADP4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
88.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 89 in profit

Market CapQuality
$116.00B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
20.3%9/10

Keeps 20 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
26.7%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 26.7%

SHOP5 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$215.16B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Revenue GrowthGrowth
33.7%10/10

Revenue surging 33.7% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
68.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 68.1% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
6.6910/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Areas to Watch

ADP4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
26.1x4/10

Moderate valuation

Debt/EquityHealth
1.073/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
2.702/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

SHOP4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.364/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
15.1x4/10

Trading at 15.1x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
112.0x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ADP

The strongest argument for ADP centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.3% and operating margin at 26.7%.

Bull Case : SHOP

The strongest argument for SHOP centers on Market Cap, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 33.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ADP

The primary concerns for ADP are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : SHOP

The primary concerns for SHOP are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 112.0x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ADP profiles as a mature stock while SHOP is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

SHOP carries more volatility with a beta of 2.63 — expect wider price swings.

SHOP is growing revenue faster at 33.7% — sustainability is the question.

SHOP generates stronger free cash flow (654M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ADP scores higher overall (64/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 20.3% margins. SHOP offers better value entry with a 22.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Automatic Data Processing Inc

TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is an American provider of human resources management software and services.

Shopify Inc

TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA

Shopify Inc., a commerce company, offers a commerce and service platform in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, Latin America, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

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