WallStSmart

The AES Corporation (AES)vsDuke Energy Corporation (DUK)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Duke Energy Corporation generates 162% more annual revenue ($32.72B vs $12.49B). DUK leads profitability with a 15.7% profit margin vs 10.8%. AES appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.09. AES earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).

AES

Strong Buy

71

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 6.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.48

DUK

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.0Value: 4.3Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.52
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AESSignificantly Overvalued (-44.0%)

Margin of Safety

-44.0%

Fair Value

$11.42

Current Price

$14.67

$3.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $11.42Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for DUK.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AES4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
7.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
30.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
951.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 951.0% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

DUK3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$97.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
25.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 25.5%

Areas to Watch

AES4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-565.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.482/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
7.011/10

Elevated debt levels

DUK4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.663/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
2.652/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-2.58B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AES

The strongest argument for AES centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS Growth. PEG of 1.09 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : DUK

The strongest argument for DUK centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.7% and operating margin at 25.5%. Revenue growth of 11.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AES

The primary concerns for AES are Piotroski F-Score, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 7.01 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : DUK

The primary concerns for DUK are Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio. Debt-to-equity of 1.66 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AES profiles as a value stock while DUK is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

AES carries more volatility with a beta of 0.95 — expect wider price swings.

DUK is growing revenue faster at 11.3% — sustainability is the question.

AES generates stronger free cash flow (-565M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AES scores higher overall (71/100 vs 67/100). Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

The AES Corporation

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - DIVERSIFIED · USA

The AES Corporation is a Fortune 500 company that generates and distributes electrical power. AES is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

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Duke Energy Corporation

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

Duke Energy Corporation is an American electric power and natural gas holding company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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