WallStSmart

Alumis Inc (ALMS)vsModerna Inc (MRNA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Moderna Inc generates 30016% more annual revenue ($2.23B vs $7.40M). ALMS leads profitability with a 0.0% profit margin vs -141.4%. ALMS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 25/100 (F).

ALMS

Avoid

25

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 3.7Profit: 2.5Value: 5.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: -2.68

MRNA

Avoid

21

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.7Profit: 2.0Value: 6.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.09
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ALMS.

MRNAUndervalued (+70.0%)

Margin of Safety

+70.0%

Fair Value

$134.97

Current Price

$143.97

$9.00 discount

UndervaluedFair: $134.97Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALMS2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0810/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
2.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

MRNA2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$56.02B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Debt/EquityHealth
0.199/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

ALMS4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$1.28B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
0.0%3/10

0.0% margin — thin

Return on EquityProfitability
-41.9%2/10

ROE of -41.9% — below average capital efficiency

MRNA4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
8.5x4/10

Trading at 8.5x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.1%4/10

2.1% revenue growth

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-46.6%2/10

ROE of -46.6% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALMS

The strongest argument for ALMS centers on Debt/Equity, Price/Book.

Bull Case : MRNA

The strongest argument for MRNA centers on Market Cap, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : ALMS

The primary concerns for ALMS are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin.

Bear Case : MRNA

The primary concerns for MRNA are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALMS profiles as a value stock while MRNA is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

MRNA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.11 — expect wider price swings.

MRNA is growing revenue faster at 2.1% — sustainability is the question.

ALMS generates stronger free cash flow (-82M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ALMS scores higher overall (25/100 vs 21/100). MRNA offers better value entry with a 70.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Avoid" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alumis Inc

HEALTHCARE · BIOTECHNOLOGY · USA

Alumis Inc. (ALMS) is a prominent player in the aluminum sector, specializing in the development and commercialization of high-performance aluminum solutions for automotive, aerospace, and construction industries. By harnessing proprietary technologies and a commitment to sustainability, Alumis not only drives innovation in materials science but also prioritizes environmental responsibility. The company's strong focus on research and development enables it to adapt to emerging market trends, resulting in a diverse product portfolio designed to meet the dynamic needs of its clients. With a commitment to operational excellence, Alumis is well-positioned to achieve sustained growth and deliver long-term value for investors.

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Moderna Inc

HEALTHCARE · BIOTECHNOLOGY · USA

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops messenger RNA-based vaccines and therapies for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, cardiovascular diseases, and autoimmune diseases. The company is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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