WallStSmart

Allurion Technologies, Inc. (ALUR)vsNovartis AG ADR (NVS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Novartis AG ADR generates 328689% more annual revenue ($56.58B vs $17.21M). NVS leads profitability with a 23.9% profit margin vs -1.9%. NVS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 51/100 (C-).

ALUR

Avoid

34

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.5Value: 6.7Quality: 5.0

NVS

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 9.0Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.96
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ALURUndervalued (+77.7%)

Margin of Safety

+77.7%

Fair Value

$4.94

Current Price

$0.74

$4.20 discount

UndervaluedFair: $4.94Overvalued
NVSSignificantly Overvalued (-52.5%)

Margin of Safety

-52.5%

Fair Value

$109.60

Current Price

$147.85

$38.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $109.60Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALUR1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
71.2%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.2% YoY

NVS5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
Market CapQuality
$282.11B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
34.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
30.5%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 30.5%

Profit MarginProfitability
23.9%9/10

Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.87B8/10

Generating 2.9B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

ALUR4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$8.96M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
0.0%3/10

ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.5%2/10

Revenue declined 0.5%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-6.54M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

NVS4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.484/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.964/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.7%2/10

Revenue declined 0.7%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-9.3%2/10

Earnings declined 9.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALUR

The strongest argument for ALUR centers on EPS Growth.

Bull Case : NVS

The strongest argument for NVS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.9% and operating margin at 30.5%.

Bear Case : ALUR

The primary concerns for ALUR are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : NVS

The primary concerns for NVS are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALUR profiles as a turnaround stock while NVS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

NVS carries more volatility with a beta of 0.52 — expect wider price swings.

ALUR is growing revenue faster at -0.5% — sustainability is the question.

NVS generates stronger free cash flow (2.9B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NVS scores higher overall (51/100 vs 34/100), backed by strong 23.9% margins. ALUR offers better value entry with a 77.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Allurion Technologies, Inc.

HEALTHCARE · MEDICAL DEVICES · USA

Allurion Technologies Inc. focuses on ending obesity with a weight loss platform to treat people who are overweight. The company is headquartered in Natick, Massachusetts.

Novartis AG ADR

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures and markets medical devices worldwide. The company is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

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