Astrana Health Inc (ASTH)vsNovartis AG ADR (NVS)
ASTH
Astrana Health Inc
$37.98
-0.13%
HEALTHCARE · Cap: $1.89B
NVS
Novartis AG ADR
$137.16
+1.36%
HEALTHCARE · Cap: $260.70B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Novartis AG ADR generates 1375% more annual revenue ($56.69B vs $3.84B). NVS leads profitability with a 22.5% profit margin vs 1.1%. NVS trades at a lower P/E of 20.7x. ASTH earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
ASTH
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
NVS
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for ASTH.
Margin of Safety
-47.0%
Fair Value
$93.29
Current Price
$137.16
$43.87 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 48.5% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 110.5% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Mega-cap, among the largest globally
Every $100 of equity generates 31 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 34.6%
Keeps 23 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Generating 5.6B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 3.8% — below average capital efficiency
1.1% margin — thin
Operating margin of 3.5%
0.8% revenue growth
Grey zone — moderate risk
Elevated debt levels
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ASTH
The strongest argument for ASTH centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 48.5% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NVS
The strongest argument for NVS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.5% and operating margin at 34.6%.
Bear Case : ASTH
The primary concerns for ASTH are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 46.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : NVS
The primary concerns for NVS are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ASTH profiles as a hypergrowth stock while NVS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
ASTH carries more volatility with a beta of 0.91 — expect wider price swings.
ASTH is growing revenue faster at 48.5% — sustainability is the question.
NVS generates stronger free cash flow (5.6B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ASTH scores higher overall (56/100 vs 51/100) and 48.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Astrana Health Inc
HEALTHCARE · MEDICAL CARE FACILITIES · USA
Astrana Health, Inc., Inc., a physician-centric technology-powered healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Alhambra, California.
Novartis AG ADR
HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA
Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures and markets medical devices worldwide. The company is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.
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