Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS)vsLumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)
ASTS
Ast Spacemobile Inc
$59.86
-0.08%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $24.25B
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc
$927.03
-0.93%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $83.93B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Lumentum Holdings Inc generates 2514% more annual revenue ($3.01B vs $115.30M). ASTS leads profitability with a 0.0% profit margin vs -230.1%. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).
ASTS
Avoid32
out of 100
Grade: F
LITE
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+45.1%
Fair Value
$120.52
Current Price
$59.86
$60.66 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for LITE.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 2627.0% year-over-year
Revenue surging 109.3% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Growing faster than its price suggests
Strong operational efficiency at 28.0%
Areas to Watch
Trading at 9.5x book value
0.0% earnings growth
0.0% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Trading at 17.7x book value
ROE of -149.3% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
Currently unprofitable
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ASTS
The strongest argument for ASTS centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 2627.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : LITE
The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 109.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.63 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : ASTS
The primary concerns for ASTS are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 1.58 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : LITE
The primary concerns for LITE are Price/Book, Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ASTS carries more volatility with a beta of 2.73 — expect wider price swings.
ASTS is growing revenue faster at 2627.0% — sustainability is the question.
LITE generates stronger free cash flow (287M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
LITE scores higher overall (57/100 vs 32/100) and 109.3% revenue growth. ASTS offers better value entry with a 45.1% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Ast Spacemobile Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. operates a space-based cellular broadband network for mobile phones. The company is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Lumentum Holdings Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.
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