Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS)vsLumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)
ASTS
Ast Spacemobile Inc
$133.09
-8.83%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $50.30B
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc
$860.62
-8.86%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $78.11B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Lumentum Holdings Inc generates 2830% more annual revenue ($2.49B vs $84.94M). LITE leads profitability with a 17.7% profit margin vs 0.0%. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
ASTS
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
LITE
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-24.6%
Fair Value
$91.02
Current Price
$133.09
$42.07 premium
Intrinsic value data unavailable for LITE.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 1952.0% year-over-year
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Large-cap with strong market position
Revenue surging 90.1% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Growing faster than its price suggests
Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%
Areas to Watch
Trading at 19.1x book value
0.0% earnings growth
0.0% margin — thin
ROE of -23.4% — below average capital efficiency
Elevated debt levels
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 72.6x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ASTS
The strongest argument for ASTS centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 1952.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : LITE
The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.7% and operating margin at 21.8%. Revenue growth of 90.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ASTS
The primary concerns for ASTS are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : LITE
The primary concerns for LITE are Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. A P/E of 177.1x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ASTS profiles as a hypergrowth stock while LITE is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
ASTS carries more volatility with a beta of 2.60 — expect wider price swings.
ASTS is growing revenue faster at 1952.0% — sustainability is the question.
LITE generates stronger free cash flow (79M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
LITE scores higher overall (74/100 vs 30/100), backed by strong 17.7% margins and 90.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Ast Spacemobile Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. operates a space-based cellular broadband network for mobile phones. The company is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Lumentum Holdings Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.
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