WallStSmart

Grupo Aval (AVAL)vsMizuho Financial Group Inc. (MFG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Grupo Aval generates 234% more annual revenue ($13.44T vs $4.02T). MFG leads profitability with a 26.1% profit margin vs 12.9%. AVAL trades at a lower P/E of 11.1x. MFG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

AVAL

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 8.7Profit: 5.0Value: 8.3Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: -0.23

MFG

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AVALUndervalued (+72.0%)

Margin of Safety

+72.0%

Fair Value

$16.20

Current Price

$4.32

$11.88 discount

UndervaluedFair: $16.20Overvalued
MFGUndervalued (+42.4%)

Margin of Safety

+42.4%

Fair Value

$17.51

Current Price

$7.81

$9.70 discount

UndervaluedFair: $17.51Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AVAL5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
0.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.30T10/10

Generating 1.3T in free cash flow

Revenue GrowthGrowth
18.8%8/10

18.8% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
22.4%8/10

Earnings expanding 22.4% YoY

MFG6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
36.3%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 36.3%

Market CapQuality
$92.84B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
26.1%9/10

Keeps 26 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.868/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
14.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

AVAL2 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Operating MarginProfitability
0.0%3/10

Operating margin of 0.0%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.232/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

MFG0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AVAL

The strongest argument for AVAL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow. Revenue growth of 18.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : MFG

The strongest argument for MFG centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 26.1% and operating margin at 36.3%. PEG of 0.86 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AVAL

The primary concerns for AVAL are Operating Margin, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : MFG

No major red flags identified for MFG, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AVAL profiles as a growth stock while MFG is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

AVAL carries more volatility with a beta of 0.43 — expect wider price swings.

AVAL is growing revenue faster at 18.8% — sustainability is the question.

Monitor BANKS - REGIONAL industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

MFG scores higher overall (74/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 26.1% margins. AVAL offers better value entry with a 72.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Grupo Aval

FINANCIAL SERVICES · BANKS - REGIONAL · USA

Grupo Aval Actions y Valores SA offers a range of financial services and products to public and private sector clients in Colombia and Central America. The company is headquartered in Bogot, Colombia.

Mizuho Financial Group Inc.

FINANCIAL SERVICES · BANKS - REGIONAL · USA

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. engages in banking, trusts, securities and other businesses related to financial services in Japan, America, Europe, Asia / Oceania and internationally. The company is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

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