WallStSmart

American Express Company (AXP)vsEncore Capital Group Inc (ECPG)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

American Express Company generates 3686% more annual revenue ($66.97B vs $1.77B). AXP leads profitability with a 16.2% profit margin vs 14.5%. ECPG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.17. ECPG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 90/100 (A).

AXP

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.0Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.13

ECPG

Exceptional Buy

90

out of 100

Grade: A

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.5Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AXPUndervalued (+41.4%)

Margin of Safety

+41.4%

Fair Value

$512.74

Current Price

$300.24

$212.50 discount

UndervaluedFair: $512.74Overvalued
ECPGUndervalued (+88.8%)

Margin of Safety

+88.8%

Fair Value

$510.59

Current Price

$70.85

$439.74 discount

UndervaluedFair: $510.59Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AXP3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Market CapQuality
$208.03B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
34.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.35B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

ECPG6 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.1710/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
6.2x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Operating MarginProfitability
81.8%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 81.8%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
78.3%10/10

Revenue surging 78.3% year-over-year

Return on EquityProfitability
29.4%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

AXP3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.524/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.733/10

Elevated debt levels

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.132/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

ECPG2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
1.5%4/10

1.5% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$1.52B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AXP

The strongest argument for AXP centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Free Cash Flow. Profitability is solid with margins at 16.2% and operating margin at 17.5%. Revenue growth of 10.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ECPG

The strongest argument for ECPG centers on PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Operating Margin. Revenue growth of 78.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.17 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AXP

The primary concerns for AXP are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 1.73 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : ECPG

The primary concerns for ECPG are EPS Growth, Market Cap.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AXP profiles as a mature stock while ECPG is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ECPG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.31 — expect wider price swings.

ECPG is growing revenue faster at 78.3% — sustainability is the question.

AXP generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ECPG scores higher overall (90/100 vs 66/100) and 78.3% revenue growth. AXP offers better value entry with a 41.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Express Company

FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA

The American Express Company is a multinational financial services corporation headquartered at 200 Vesey Street in the Battery Park City neighborhood of Lower Manhattan in New York City.

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Encore Capital Group Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA

Encore Capital Group, Inc., a specialty finance company, offers debt recovery solutions and other related services to consumers in a variety of financial assets worldwide. The company is headquartered in San Diego, California.

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