WallStSmart

Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Eli Lilly and Company generates 10108% more annual revenue ($65.18B vs $638.50M). LLY leads profitability with a 31.7% profit margin vs -28.7%. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

AXSM

Avoid

30

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 8.0Profit: 2.0Value: 6.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: -2.07

LLY

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AXSMUndervalued (+51.5%)

Margin of Safety

+51.5%

Fair Value

$383.96

Current Price

$207.75

$176.21 discount

UndervaluedFair: $383.96Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AXSM1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
65.0%10/10

Revenue surging 65.0% year-over-year

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$760.43B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
101.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 101 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.7%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
44.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 44.9%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
42.6%10/10

Revenue surging 42.6% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
51.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 51.4% YoY

Areas to Watch

AXSM4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Price/BookValuation
119.4x2/10

Trading at 119.4x book value

Return on EquityProfitability
-252.1%2/10

ROE of -252.1% — below average capital efficiency

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-18.72M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.0x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Debt/EquityHealth
1.603/10

Elevated debt levels

Price/BookValuation
31.5x2/10

Trading at 31.5x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AXSM

The strongest argument for AXSM centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 65.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.7% and operating margin at 44.9%. Revenue growth of 42.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AXSM

The primary concerns for AXSM are EPS Growth, Price/Book, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.96 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 1.60 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AXSM profiles as a hypergrowth stock while LLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

LLY carries more volatility with a beta of 0.50 — expect wider price swings.

AXSM is growing revenue faster at 65.0% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (678M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (78/100 vs 30/100), backed by strong 31.7% margins and 42.6% revenue growth. AXSM offers better value entry with a 51.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Axsome Therapeutics Inc

HEALTHCARE · BIOTECHNOLOGY · USA

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, is dedicated to developing new therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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