WallStSmart

Certara Inc (CERT)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Eli Lilly and Company generates 18790% more annual revenue ($79.67B vs $421.75M). LLY leads profitability with a 33.5% profit margin vs -16.2%. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

CERT

Avoid

31

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.0Profit: 2.5Value: 6.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.63

LLY

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 9.3Profit: 10.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CERTUndervalued (+54.4%)

Margin of Safety

+54.4%

Fair Value

$15.21

Current Price

$7.55

$7.66 discount

UndervaluedFair: $15.21Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CERT1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.2x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Market CapQuality
$994.92B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
78.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 79 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
33.5%10/10

Keeps 34 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
54.2%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 54.2%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
47.7%10/10

Revenue surging 47.7% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
26.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 26.2% YoY

Areas to Watch

CERT4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.0%4/10

1.0% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.634/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$1.18B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-1.5%2/10

ROE of -1.5% — below average capital efficiency

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.7x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Debt/EquityHealth
1.623/10

Elevated debt levels

Price/BookValuation
29.9x2/10

Trading at 29.9x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CERT

The strongest argument for CERT centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 33.5% and operating margin at 54.2%. Revenue growth of 47.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CERT

The primary concerns for CERT are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 1.62 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CERT profiles as a turnaround stock while LLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CERT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 47.7% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (7.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (76/100 vs 31/100), backed by strong 33.5% margins and 47.7% revenue growth. CERT offers better value entry with a 54.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Certara Inc

HEALTHCARE · HEALTH INFORMATION SERVICES · USA

Certara Inc. provides software products and technology services to clients for biosimulation in drug discovery, preclinical and clinical research, regulatory filings, and market access. The company is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey.

Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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