WallStSmart

Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc (COLL)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Eli Lilly and Company generates 10506% more annual revenue ($86.46B vs $815.19M). LLY leads profitability with a 31.9% profit margin vs 4.7%. COLL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.72. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

COLL

Buy

58

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 8.0Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.05

LLY

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 9.3Profit: 10.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

COLLUndervalued (+88.3%)

Margin of Safety

+88.3%

Fair Value

$384.11

Current Price

$24.95

$359.16 discount

UndervaluedFair: $384.11Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

COLL3 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.728/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.9%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.9%

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Market CapQuality
$1.26T10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
68.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 68 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.9%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
53.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 53.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
38.6%10/10

Revenue surging 38.6% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$8.22B8/10

Generating 8.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

COLL4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.3%4/10

3.3% revenue growth

Market CapQuality
$770.98M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
4.7%3/10

4.7% margin — thin

EPS GrowthGrowth
-29.0%2/10

Earnings declined 29.0%

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.233/10

Elevated debt levels

P/E RatioValuation
46.0x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
31.6x2/10

Trading at 31.6x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : COLL

The strongest argument for COLL centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin. PEG of 0.72 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.9% and operating margin at 53.7%. Revenue growth of 38.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : COLL

The primary concerns for COLL are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 2.75 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 4.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. A P/E of 46.0x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

COLL profiles as a value stock while LLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

COLL carries more volatility with a beta of 0.73 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 38.6% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (8.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (74/100 vs 58/100), backed by strong 31.9% margins and 38.6% revenue growth. COLL offers better value entry with a 88.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - SPECIALTY & GENERIC · USA

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, develops and markets pain management medications. The company is headquartered in Stoughton, Massachusetts.

Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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