WallStSmart

Ero Copper Corp (ERO)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Ero Copper Corp generates 151% more annual revenue ($1.04B vs $416.25M). ERO leads profitability with a 29.8% profit margin vs -14.6%. ERO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).

ERO

Strong Buy

73

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 9.3Profit: 9.5Value: 5.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16

MP

Avoid

30

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.51
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EROFair Value (-4.7%)

Margin of Safety

-4.7%

Fair Value

$30.09

Current Price

$35.47

$5.38 premium

UndervaluedFair: $30.09Overvalued
MPSignificantly Overvalued (-22.9%)

Margin of Safety

-22.9%

Fair Value

$44.19

Current Price

$50.51

$6.32 premium

UndervaluedFair: $44.19Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ERO6 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
32.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
37.6%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 37.6%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
73.9%10/10

Revenue surging 73.9% year-over-year

Profit MarginProfitability
29.8%9/10

Keeps 30 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
13.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.0%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.0% YoY

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
119.7%10/10

Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

ERO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.514/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-223.49M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ERO

The strongest argument for ERO centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.8% and operating margin at 37.6%. Revenue growth of 73.9% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ERO

No major red flags identified for ERO, but monitor valuation.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ERO profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.95 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.

ERO generates stronger free cash flow (52M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ERO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 30/100), backed by strong 29.8% margins and 73.9% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ero Copper Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · COPPER · USA

Ero Copper Corp. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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