Gevo Inc (GEVO)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
GEVO
Gevo Inc
$1.45
-0.68%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $365.12M
MP
MP Materials Corp
$52.21
+0.97%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $9.44B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
MP Materials Corp generates 99% more annual revenue ($347.57M vs $174.42M). GEVO leads profitability with a -19.4% profit margin vs -20.5%. GEVO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 40/100 (D).
GEVO
Hold40
out of 100
Grade: D
MP
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for GEVO.
Margin of Safety
-36.1%
Fair Value
$37.09
Current Price
$52.21
$15.12 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 47.5% year-over-year
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
0.0% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -7.5% — below average capital efficiency
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEVO
The strongest argument for GEVO centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 47.5% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GEVO
The primary concerns for GEVO are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.86 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
GEVO generates stronger free cash flow (-30M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor SPECIALTY CHEMICALS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
GEVO scores higher overall (40/100 vs 30/100) and 47.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Gevo Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · SPECIALTY CHEMICALS · USA
Gevo, Inc. is a renewable fuel company. The company is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
Visit Website →MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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