WallStSmart

HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

HCA Healthcare, Inc. generates 8% more annual revenue ($78.01B vs $72.25B). LLY leads profitability with a 35.0% profit margin vs 8.8%. HCA appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.30. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

HCA

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 8.0Value: 5.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.71

LLY

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 4.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HCASignificantly Overvalued (-76.9%)

Margin of Safety

-76.9%

Fair Value

$300.44

Current Price

$413.36

$112.92 premium

UndervaluedFair: $300.44Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HCA5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
136.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 136 in profit

Debt/EquityHealth
-7.4210/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Market CapQuality
$86.76B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
13.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.10B8/10

Generating 1.1B in free cash flow

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$1.02T10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
81.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 81 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
35.0%10/10

Keeps 35 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
49.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 49.4%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
55.5%10/10

Revenue surging 55.5% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
169.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 169.9% YoY

Areas to Watch

HCA1 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.714/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

LLY4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.614/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
39.6x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Debt/EquityHealth
1.393/10

Elevated debt levels

Price/BookValuation
34.0x2/10

Trading at 34.0x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HCA

The strongest argument for HCA centers on Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, Market Cap. PEG of 1.30 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 35.0% and operating margin at 49.4%. Revenue growth of 55.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : HCA

The primary concerns for HCA are Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HCA profiles as a value stock while LLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

HCA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.11 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 55.5% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (76/100 vs 65/100), backed by strong 35.0% margins and 55.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

HCA Healthcare, Inc.

HEALTHCARE · MEDICAL CARE FACILITIES · USA

HCA Healthcare is an American for-profit operator of health care facilities that was founded in 1968. It is based in Nashville, Tennessee, and, as of May 2020, owns and operates 186 hospitals and approximately 2,000 sites of care, including surgery centers, freestanding emergency rooms, urgent care centers and physician clinics in 21 states and the United Kingdom.

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Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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