WallStSmart

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)vsMGM Resorts International (MGM)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

MGM Resorts International generates 282% more annual revenue ($17.72B vs $4.63B). HGV leads profitability with a 3.5% profit margin vs 1.0%. HGV trades at a lower P/E of 26.3x. HGV earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).

HGV

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 7.3Profit: 5.5Value: 7.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.28

MGM

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 5.0Value: 6.0Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.63
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Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HGVUndervalued (+42.1%)

Margin of Safety

+42.1%

Fair Value

$80.17

Current Price

$48.67

$31.50 discount

UndervaluedFair: $80.17Overvalued
MGMUndervalued (+62.0%)

Margin of Safety

+62.0%

Fair Value

$95.55

Current Price

$38.79

$56.76 discount

UndervaluedFair: $95.55Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HGV1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
187.2%10/10

Earnings expanding 187.2% YoY

MGM0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

HGV4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
26.3x4/10

Moderate valuation

Profit MarginProfitability
3.5%3/10

3.5% margin — thin

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.282/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
5.261/10

Elevated debt levels

MGM4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.2%4/10

4.2% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
1.0%3/10

1.0% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
52.2x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

EPS GrowthGrowth
-5.9%2/10

Earnings declined 5.9%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HGV

The strongest argument for HGV centers on EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 11.9% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : MGM

PEG of 1.14 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : HGV

The primary concerns for HGV are P/E Ratio, Profit Margin, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 5.26 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : MGM

The primary concerns for MGM are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 52.2x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 23.11 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HGV carries more volatility with a beta of 1.49 — expect wider price swings.

HGV is growing revenue faster at 11.9% — sustainability is the question.

MGM generates stronger free cash flow (413M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RESORTS & CASINOS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

HGV scores higher overall (57/100 vs 49/100) and 11.9% revenue growth. MGM offers better value entry with a 62.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESORTS & CASINOS · USA

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc., a timeshare company, develops, markets, sells and manages vacation-owned resorts primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. The company is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

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MGM Resorts International

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESORTS & CASINOS · USA

MGM Resorts International is an American global hospitality and entertainment company operating destination resorts globally.

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