WallStSmart

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited generates 23741% more annual revenue ($99.24B vs $416.25M). HMY leads profitability with a 29.6% profit margin vs -14.6%. HMY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 90/100 (A).

HMY

Exceptional Buy

90

out of 100

Grade: A

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 10.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.35

MP

Avoid

30

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.51
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HMYUndervalued (+68.7%)

Margin of Safety

+68.7%

Fair Value

$66.44

Current Price

$20.64

$45.80 discount

UndervaluedFair: $66.44Overvalued
MPSignificantly Overvalued (-22.9%)

Margin of Safety

-22.9%

Fair Value

$44.19

Current Price

$50.72

$6.53 premium

UndervaluedFair: $44.19Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HMY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.0310/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
7.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
57.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 58 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
47.2%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 47.2%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
49.2%10/10

Revenue surging 49.2% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
198.8%10/10

Earnings expanding 198.8% YoY

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
119.7%10/10

Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

HMY1 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.514/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-223.49M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HMY

The strongest argument for HMY centers on PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.6% and operating margin at 47.2%. Revenue growth of 49.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : HMY

The primary concerns for HMY are Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HMY profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.95 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.

HMY generates stronger free cash flow (10.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

HMY scores higher overall (90/100 vs 30/100), backed by strong 29.6% margins and 49.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

BASIC MATERIALS · GOLD · USA

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited is engaged in the exploration, extraction and processing of gold in South Africa and Papua New Guinea. The company is headquartered in Randfontein, South Africa.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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