Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV)vsToll Brothers Inc (TOL)
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc
$109.00
-2.50%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $672.08M
TOL
Toll Brothers Inc
$137.42
+1.09%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $13.75B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Toll Brothers Inc generates 279% more annual revenue ($11.05B vs $2.92B). TOL leads profitability with a 11.7% profit margin vs 1.3%. TOL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.09. TOL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).
HOV
Hold45
out of 100
Grade: D
TOL
Buy61
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for HOV.
Margin of Safety
-53.9%
Fair Value
$95.60
Current Price
$137.42
$41.82 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
Revenue declined 7.6%
Earnings declined 22.3%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HOV
The strongest argument for HOV centers on Price/Book.
Bull Case : TOL
The strongest argument for TOL centers on P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Price/Book. PEG of 1.09 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : HOV
The primary concerns for HOV are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score. Thin 1.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : TOL
The primary concerns for TOL are Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HOV profiles as a value stock while TOL is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
HOV carries more volatility with a beta of 1.87 — expect wider price swings.
HOV is growing revenue faster at -2.7% — sustainability is the question.
TOL generates stronger free cash flow (110M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
TOL scores higher overall (61/100 vs 45/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION · USA
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. is dedicated to the design, construction, marketing and sales of residential homes in the United States. The company is headquartered in Matawan, New Jersey.
Toll Brothers Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION · USA
Toll Brothers, Inc. designs, builds, markets, sells and manages the financing of a variety of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
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