Hub Group Inc (HUBG)vsIllinois Tool Works Inc (ITW)
HUBG
Hub Group Inc
$42.77
-2.75%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.62B
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc
$258.01
-2.88%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $74.36B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Illinois Tool Works Inc generates 330% more annual revenue ($16.04B vs $3.73B). ITW leads profitability with a 19.1% profit margin vs 2.8%. HUBG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.18. ITW earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 58/100 (C).
HUBG
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
ITW
Buy58
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+36.5%
Fair Value
$66.94
Current Price
$42.77
$24.17 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for ITW.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 20.5% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 94 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Large-cap with strong market position
Strong operational efficiency at 26.8%
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency
2.8% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.2%
4.1% revenue growth
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 23.1x book value
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HUBG
The strongest argument for HUBG centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth.
Bull Case : ITW
The strongest argument for ITW centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.1% and operating margin at 26.8%.
Bear Case : HUBG
The primary concerns for HUBG are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ITW
The primary concerns for ITW are Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HUBG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.16 — expect wider price swings.
ITW is growing revenue faster at 4.1% — sustainability is the question.
ITW generates stronger free cash flow (858M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
ITW scores higher overall (58/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 19.1% margins. HUBG offers better value entry with a 36.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Hub Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Hub Group, Inc., a light asset freight management company, provides intermodal services, truck brokerage, trucking, managed transportation, cargo consolidation, warehousing, last mile delivery, international transportation, and other freight services. logistics in North America. The company is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois.
Illinois Tool Works Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SPECIALTY INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY · USA
Illinois Tool Works Inc. or ITW is an American company that produces engineered fasteners and components, equipment and consumable systems, and specialty products.
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