Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
$26.37
+0.61%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $35.61B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 428% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $16.60B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 12.5%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.89. KDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
KDP
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+2.7%
Fair Value
$30.72
Current Price
$26.37
$4.35 discount
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Strong operational efficiency at 22.6%
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : KDP
The strongest argument for KDP centers on Price/Book, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. Revenue growth of 10.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.89 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : KDP
The primary concerns for KDP are Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
KDP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.30 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
KDP scores higher overall (69/100 vs 67/100) and 10.5% revenue growth. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
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