WallStSmart

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsThe J. M. Smucker Company (SJM)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generates 119% more annual revenue ($20.09B vs $9.16B). KDP leads profitability with a 7.1% profit margin vs 2.5%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.01. KDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

KDP

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 5.0Value: 6.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.09

SJM

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.88
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

KDPUndervalued (+63.1%)

Margin of Safety

+63.1%

Fair Value

$81.12

Current Price

$31.39

$49.73 discount

UndervaluedFair: $81.12Overvalued
SJMUndervalued (+14.2%)

Margin of Safety

+14.2%

Fair Value

$129.41

Current Price

$121.14

$8.27 discount

UndervaluedFair: $129.41Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

KDP2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
75.6%10/10

Revenue surging 75.6% year-over-year

Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

SJM1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

KDP4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
32.9x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
5.7%3/10

ROE of 5.7% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
7.1%3/10

7.1% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.373/10

Elevated debt levels

SJM4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.684/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
2.5%3/10

2.5% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.283/10

Elevated debt levels

P/E RatioValuation
58.3x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : KDP

The strongest argument for KDP centers on Revenue Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 75.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.01 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : SJM

The strongest argument for SJM centers on Price/Book.

Bear Case : KDP

The primary concerns for KDP are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.

Bear Case : SJM

The primary concerns for SJM are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. A P/E of 58.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

KDP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while SJM is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

KDP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.41 — expect wider price swings.

KDP is growing revenue faster at 75.6% — sustainability is the question.

KDP generates stronger free cash flow (714M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

KDP scores higher overall (61/100 vs 51/100) and 75.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

The J. M. Smucker Company

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · PACKAGED FOODS · USA

The J. M. Smucker Company, also known as Smucker and Smucker's, is an American manufacturer of jam, peanut butter, jelly, fruit syrups, beverages, shortening, ice cream toppings, and other products in North America. Smucker's headquarters are located in Orrville, Ohio.

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