Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsThe J. M. Smucker Company (SJM)
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
$34.93
+0.20%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $47.11B
SJM
The J. M. Smucker Company
$125.46
-1.53%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $13.61B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generates 119% more annual revenue ($20.09B vs $9.16B). KDP leads profitability with a 7.1% profit margin vs 2.5%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.98. KDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
KDP
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
SJM
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+62.8%
Fair Value
$80.29
Current Price
$34.93
$45.36 discount
Margin of Safety
+13.8%
Fair Value
$128.91
Current Price
$125.46
$3.45 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 75.6% year-over-year
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of 5.7% — below average capital efficiency
7.1% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 4.0% — below average capital efficiency
2.5% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : KDP
The strongest argument for KDP centers on Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 75.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.98 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : SJM
The strongest argument for SJM centers on Price/Book.
Bear Case : KDP
The primary concerns for KDP are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : SJM
The primary concerns for SJM are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 59.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
KDP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while SJM is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
KDP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.41 — expect wider price swings.
KDP is growing revenue faster at 75.6% — sustainability is the question.
KDP generates stronger free cash flow (714M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
KDP scores higher overall (63/100 vs 51/100) and 75.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
The J. M. Smucker Company
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · PACKAGED FOODS · USA
The J. M. Smucker Company, also known as Smucker and Smucker's, is an American manufacturer of jam, peanut butter, jelly, fruit syrups, beverages, shortening, ice cream toppings, and other products in North America. Smucker's headquarters are located in Orrville, Ohio.
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