WallStSmart

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Lumentum Holdings Inc generates 664% more annual revenue ($2.11B vs $275.46M). LITE leads profitability with a 11.9% profit margin vs -31.2%. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

LITE

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.58

MP

Avoid

29

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.13
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LITESignificantly Overvalued (-255.6%)

Margin of Safety

-255.6%

Fair Value

$161.46

Current Price

$777.17

$615.71 premium

UndervaluedFair: $161.46Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LITE5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
65.5%10/10

Revenue surging 65.5% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
71.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY

Market CapQuality
$57.26B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
29.3%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.978/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
70.0%10/10

Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

LITE3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
232.5x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
65.5x2/10

Trading at 65.5x book value

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.582/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-5.0%2/10

ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-109.26M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.132/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LITE

The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 65.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.97 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : LITE

The primary concerns for LITE are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 232.5x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LITE profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.62 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.

LITE generates stronger free cash flow (51M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LITE scores higher overall (69/100 vs 29/100) and 65.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Lumentum Holdings Inc

TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA

Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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