WallStSmart

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB)vsThe Mosaic Company (MOS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

LyondellBasell Industries NV generates 150% more annual revenue ($30.15B vs $12.05B). MOS leads profitability with a 4.5% profit margin vs -2.5%. LYB appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.53. MOS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).

LYB

Hold

40

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 2.0Profit: 2.5Value: 6.3Quality: 5.0

MOS

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 4.0Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.22
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LYBUndervalued (+33.7%)

Margin of Safety

+33.7%

Fair Value

$89.68

Current Price

$73.29

$16.39 discount

UndervaluedFair: $89.68Overvalued
MOSUndervalued (+62.8%)

Margin of Safety

+62.8%

Fair Value

$83.69

Current Price

$23.03

$60.66 discount

UndervaluedFair: $83.69Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LYB1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

MOS3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Price/BookValuation
0.6x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
239.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
13.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

LYB4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.534/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-7.0%2/10

ROE of -7.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-9.2%2/10

Revenue declined 9.2%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-87.7%2/10

Earnings declined 87.7%

MOS4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.634/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
4.8%3/10

ROE of 4.8% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

4.5% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

Operating margin of 2.8%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LYB

The strongest argument for LYB centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : MOS

The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio.

Bear Case : LYB

The primary concerns for LYB are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : MOS

The primary concerns for MOS are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 4.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LYB profiles as a turnaround stock while MOS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

MOS carries more volatility with a beta of 0.96 — expect wider price swings.

MOS is growing revenue faster at 5.6% — sustainability is the question.

LYB generates stronger free cash flow (79M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

MOS scores higher overall (62/100 vs 40/100). LYB offers better value entry with a 33.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

LyondellBasell Industries NV

BASIC MATERIALS · SPECIALTY CHEMICALS · USA

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) is a Dutch-domiciled multinational chemical company with American and British roots, incorporated in the Netherlands, with U.S. operations headquarters in Houston, Texas, and offices in London, UK. The company is the largest licensor of polyethylene and polypropylene technologies. It also produces ethylene, propylene, polyolefins, and oxyfuels.

The Mosaic Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.

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