WallStSmart

National Grid PLC ADR (NGG)vsXcel Energy Inc (XEL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

National Grid PLC ADR generates 19% more annual revenue ($17.48B vs $14.67B). NGG leads profitability with a 16.4% profit margin vs 13.8%. NGG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.09. XEL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).

NGG

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.24

XEL

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.0Value: 10.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 1/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NGGSignificantly Overvalued (-234.1%)

Margin of Safety

-234.1%

Fair Value

$27.13

Current Price

$81.99

$54.86 premium

UndervaluedFair: $27.13Overvalued
XELUndervalued (+43.1%)

Margin of Safety

+43.1%

Fair Value

$137.07

Current Price

$76.77

$60.30 discount

UndervaluedFair: $137.07Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NGG2 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Market CapQuality
$85.04B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Operating MarginProfitability
24.1%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 24.1%

XEL2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
20.8%8/10

Earnings expanding 20.8% YoY

Areas to Watch

NGG4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
8.2x4/10

Trading at 8.2x book value

Return on EquityProfitability
7.9%3/10

ROE of 7.9% — below average capital efficiency

Debt/EquityHealth
1.233/10

Elevated debt levels

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-11.3%2/10

Revenue declined 11.3%

XEL4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.174/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.443/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-8.46B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NGG

The strongest argument for NGG centers on Market Cap, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 16.4% and operating margin at 24.1%. PEG of 1.09 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : XEL

The strongest argument for XEL centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 14.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : NGG

The primary concerns for NGG are Price/Book, Return on Equity, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : XEL

The primary concerns for XEL are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NGG profiles as a declining stock while XEL is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

NGG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.61 — expect wider price swings.

XEL is growing revenue faster at 14.1% — sustainability is the question.

NGG generates stronger free cash flow (-1.6B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

XEL scores higher overall (62/100 vs 50/100) and 14.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

National Grid PLC ADR

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

National Grid plc transmits and distributes electricity and natural gas. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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Xcel Energy Inc

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

Xcel Energy Inc. is a utility holding company based in Minneapolis, Minnesota, serving more than 3.7 million electric customers and 2.1 million natural gas customers in Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Dakota, South Dakota, Colorado, Texas, and New Mexico as of 2019. It consists of four operating subsidiaries: Northern States Power-Minnesota, Northern States Power-Wisconsin, Public Service Company of Colorado, and Southwestern Public Service Co.

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