Progressive Corp (PGR)vsTurning Point Brands Inc (TPB)
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
TPB
Turning Point Brands Inc
$88.39
+1.80%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $1.69B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 18826% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $463.06M). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 12.6%. TPB appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.05. TPB earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
TPB
Strong Buy73
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Margin of Safety
+12.1%
Fair Value
$145.55
Current Price
$88.39
$57.16 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 194.5% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit
Revenue surging 29.2% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Moderate valuation
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : TPB
The strongest argument for TPB centers on PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 29.2% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.05 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : TPB
The primary concerns for TPB are P/E Ratio, Market Cap.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
PGR profiles as a value stock while TPB is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
TPB carries more volatility with a beta of 0.85 — expect wider price swings.
TPB is growing revenue faster at 29.2% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
TPB scores higher overall (73/100 vs 67/100) and 29.2% revenue growth. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
Visit Website →Turning Point Brands Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · TOBACCO · USA
Turning Point Brands, Inc. manufactures, markets and distributes branded consumer products. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
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