WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 262% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $24.70B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.2% profit margin vs 12.9%. UNP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 3.30. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

UNP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 9.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for PGR.

UNPSignificantly Overvalued (-75.9%)

Margin of Safety

-75.9%

Fair Value

$150.49

Current Price

$264.65

$114.16 premium

UndervaluedFair: $150.49Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
40.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.4%

Market CapQuality
$157.27B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
29.2%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.50B8/10

Generating 1.5B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

UNP3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
8.5x4/10

Trading at 8.5x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.2%4/10

3.2% revenue growth

PEG RatioValuation
3.302/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.2% and operating margin at 40.4%.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

UNP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.99 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 8.7% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (61/100 vs 60/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

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