AAON Inc (AAON) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
AAON Inc stock (AAON) is currently trading at $87.83. AAON Inc PE ratio is 65.12. AAON Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 4.76. Analyst consensus price target for AAON is $122.75. WallStSmart rates AAON as Sell.
- AAON PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- AAON PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- AAON intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- AAON stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- AAON fair value vs current price
- AAON insider transactions and insider buying
- Is AAON undervalued or overvalued?
- AAON Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- AAON Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- AAON analyst price target and Smart Rating
AAON Inc
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AAON Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · AAON Inc (AAON)
AAON trades 1071% above its Graham fair value of $8.77, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
AAON Inc (AAON) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in institutional own.. Concerns around operating margin and price/book. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
AAON Inc (AAON) Key Strengths (2)
92.54% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
AAON Inc (AAON) Areas to Watch (8)
Earnings declining -68.60%, profits shrinking
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Very expensive at 7.3x book value
Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion
Premium valuation at 4.8x annual revenue
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Solid revenue growth at 16.80% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
AAON Inc (AAON) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 40/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 8.5/10) while 8 fall into concern territory (avg 3.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.62), Price/Sales (4.76), Price/Book (7.29) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 16.80%, EPS Growth at -68.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 12.50%, Operating Margin at 3.99%, Profit Margin at 7.46%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 12.50% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 16.80% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. EPS Growth and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
AAON Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
AAON's Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.76x trades 33% below its historical average of 7.06x (5th percentile). The current valuation is 62% below its historical high of 12.38x set in Nov 2006, and 7% above its historical low of 4.43x in Sep 2014. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~6.3x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
Compare AAON with Competitors
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Compare any two stocks →WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for AAON Inc (AAON) · INDUSTRIALS › BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT
The Big Picture
AAON Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 1.4B with 17% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 7.5%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Free cash flow is -43M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
Earnings fell 69% YoY while revenue grew 17%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can AAON Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 65.1x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.
Debt management: total debt of 378M is significantly higher than cash (1M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact AAON Inc.
Bottom Line
AAON Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (17% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About AAON Inc(AAON)
NASDAQ
INDUSTRIALS
BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT
USA
AAON, Inc. engages in the engineering, manufacturing, marketing and sales of heating and air conditioning equipment in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.