Adecoagro SA (AGRO) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Adecoagro SA stock (AGRO) is currently trading at $13.97. Adecoagro SA PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.40. Analyst consensus price target for AGRO is $11.60. WallStSmart rates AGRO as Sell.
- AGRO PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- AGRO PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- AGRO intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- AGRO stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- AGRO fair value vs current price
- AGRO insider transactions and insider buying
- Is AGRO undervalued or overvalued?
- Adecoagro SA financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- AGRO Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- AGRO analyst price target and Smart Rating
Adecoagro SA
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Smart Analysis
Adecoagro SA (AGRO) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Adecoagro SA (AGRO) Key Strengths (3)
Growing significantly faster than its price suggests
Paying $1.40 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading at 1.21x book value, attractively priced
Supporting Valuation Data
Adecoagro SA (AGRO) Areas to Watch (7)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Earnings declining -65.60%, profits shrinking
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Very low institutional interest at 13.82%
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Solid revenue growth at 11.10% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
Adecoagro SA (AGRO) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 42/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 8.7/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 2.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Sales, Price/Book. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.06), Price/Sales (1.40), Price/Book (1.21) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 11.10%, EPS Growth at -65.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -0.42%, Operating Margin at 2.40%, Profit Margin at -0.59%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -0.42% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 11.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
AGRO Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
AGRO's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.40x sits near its historical average of 1.58x (48th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 67% below its historical high of 4.22x set in Mar 2011, and 115% above its historical low of 0.65x in Apr 2020. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.1x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Adecoagro SA (AGRO) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE › FARM PRODUCTS
The Big Picture
Adecoagro SA is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 1.4B with 11% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -59.0% profit margin.
Key Findings
Generating 92M in free cash flow and 152M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
The company is unprofitable with a -59.0% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
Earnings fell 66% YoY while revenue grew 11%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 248.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Debt management: total debt of 1.6B is significantly higher than cash (340M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor FARM PRODUCTS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Adecoagro SA.
Bottom Line
Adecoagro SA is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:28:15 AM
About Adecoagro SA(AGRO)
NYSE
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
FARM PRODUCTS
USA
Adecoagro SA is an agro-industrial company in South America. The company is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.