WallStSmart

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Aspen Aerogels Inc stock (ASPN) is currently trading at $3.24. Aspen Aerogels Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.94. Analyst consensus price target for ASPN is $4.20. WallStSmart rates ASPN as Sell.

  • ASPN PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • ASPN PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • ASPN intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • ASPN stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • ASPN fair value vs current price
  • ASPN insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is ASPN undervalued or overvalued?
  • Aspen Aerogels Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • ASPN Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • ASPN analyst price target and Smart Rating
ASPN

Aspen Aerogels Inc

NYSEINDUSTRIALS
$3.24
$0.02 (-0.61%)
52W$2.30
$9.78
Target$4.20+29.6%

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WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) · 8 metrics scored

Smart Score

32
out of 100
Grade: F
Avoid
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around market cap and return on equity. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) Key Strengths (3)

Avg Score: 9.3/10
Price/SalesValuation
0.9410/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Institutional Own.Quality
71.30%10/10

71.30% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Price/BookValuation
1.088/10

Trading at 1.08x book value, attractively priced

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
0.935
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
0.886
Undervalued
ASPN Target Price
$4.2
24% Upside

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 0.6/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-91.60%0/10

Company is destroying shareholder value

Operating MarginProfitability
-114.70%0/10

Losing money on operations

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-66.40%0/10

Revenue declining -66.40%, a shrinking business

Profit MarginProfitability
-143.70%0/10

Company is losing money with a negative profit margin

Market CapQuality
$253M3/10

Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
384.62
Expensive

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 32/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 8 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 0.6/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own., Price/Book. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.94), Price/Book (1.08) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -66.40%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -91.60%, Operating Margin at -114.70%, Profit Margin at -143.70%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -91.60% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -66.40% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

ASPN Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

ASPN's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.94x sits near its historical average of 1x (0th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 16% below its historical high of 1.11x set in Mar 2026, and -1% above its historical low of 0.94x in Mar 2026.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) · INDUSTRIALSBUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT

The Big Picture

Aspen Aerogels Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 271M with 66% decline year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -143.7% profit margin.

Key Findings

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 14M in free cash flow and 16M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 66% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

Operating at a Loss

The company is unprofitable with a -143.7% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.

What to Watch Next

Volatility is elevated with a beta of 3.04, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.

Sector dynamics: monitor BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Aspen Aerogels Inc.

Bottom Line

Aspen Aerogels Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(19 last 3 months)

Total Buys
10
Total Sells
9

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 8:23:16 AM

About Aspen Aerogels Inc(ASPN)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT

Country

USA

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells airgel insulation products primarily for use in the energy infrastructure and building materials markets in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. The company is headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts.