Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Algoma Steel Group Inc stock (ASTL) is currently trading at $4.03. Algoma Steel Group Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.18. Analyst consensus price target for ASTL is $20.00. WallStSmart rates ASTL as Sell.
- ASTL PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- ASTL PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- ASTL intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- ASTL stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- ASTL fair value vs current price
- ASTL insider transactions and insider buying
- Is ASTL undervalued or overvalued?
- Algoma Steel Group Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- ASTL Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- ASTL analyst price target and Smart Rating
Algoma Steel Group Inc
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Smart Analysis
Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.
Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) Key Strengths (3)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
81.20% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Trading at 1.05x book value, attractively priced
Supporting Valuation Data
Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) Areas to Watch (6)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Losing money on operations
Revenue declining -22.90%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -93.00%, profits shrinking
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 34/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 0.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own., Price/Book. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.18), Price/Book (1.05) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -22.90%, EPS Growth at -93.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -98.50%, Operating Margin at -90.00%, Profit Margin at -47.20%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -98.50% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -22.90% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
ASTL Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
ASTL's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.18x sits near its historical average of 0.2x (14th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 21% below its historical high of 0.23x set in Feb 2026, and 6% above its historical low of 0.17x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.2x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) · BASIC MATERIALS › STEEL
The Big Picture
Algoma Steel Group Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 2.1B with 23% decline year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -47.2% profit margin.
Key Findings
Revenue contracted 23% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
The company is unprofitable with a -47.2% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
What to Watch Next
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 3.8%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.54, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.
Sector dynamics: monitor STEEL industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Algoma Steel Group Inc.
Bottom Line
Algoma Steel Group Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Algoma Steel Group Inc(ASTL)
NASDAQ
BASIC MATERIALS
STEEL
USA
Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada and the United States.