Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock stock (BAER) is currently trading at $1.97. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.88. Analyst consensus price target for BAER is $5.00. WallStSmart rates BAER as Sell.
- BAER PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- BAER PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- BAER intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- BAER stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- BAER fair value vs current price
- BAER insider transactions and insider buying
- Is BAER undervalued or overvalued?
- Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- BAER Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- BAER analyst price target and Smart Rating
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
📊 No data available
Try selecting a different time range
Smart Analysis
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) · 8 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, eps growth. Concerns around market cap and return on equity. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) Key Strengths (2)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Strong earnings growth at 20.50% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) Areas to Watch (6)
Losing money on operations
Revenue declining -45.20%, a shrinking business
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility
Low profitability relative to shareholder equity
Moderate institutional interest at 39.66%
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 32/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 8 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 2.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, EPS Growth. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.88) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 20.50%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Revenue Growth, Profit Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -45.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 7.01%, Operating Margin at -190.20%, Profit Margin at 3.37%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 7.01% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -45.20% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Operating Margin and Revenue Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
BAER Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
BAER's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.88x sits near its historical average of 0.97x (0th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 21% below its historical high of 1.11x set in Feb 2026, and 0% above its historical low of 0.88x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.1x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
Compare BAER with Competitors
Top SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES stocks by market cap
Compare any two stocks →WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) · INDUSTRIALS › SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES
The Big Picture
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 123M with 45% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 337.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
ROE of 701.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Revenue contracted 45% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
Free cash flow is -78M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Debt management: total debt of 211M is significantly higher than cash (55M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock.
Bottom Line
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:23:16 AM
About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock(BAER)
NASDAQ
INDUSTRIALS
SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES
USA
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire management, relief and suppression, and firefighting services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.