BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
BigBearai Holdings Inc stock (BBAI) is currently trading at $3.56. BigBearai Holdings Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 13.35. Analyst consensus price target for BBAI is $5.33. WallStSmart rates BBAI as Sell.
- BBAI PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- BBAI PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- BBAI intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- BBAI stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- BBAI fair value vs current price
- BBAI insider transactions and insider buying
- Is BBAI undervalued or overvalued?
- BigBearai Holdings Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- BBAI Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- BBAI analyst price target and Smart Rating
BigBearai Holdings Inc
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Smart Analysis
BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI) · 8 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.
BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI) Key Strengths (0)
BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI) Areas to Watch (8)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Losing money on operations
Revenue declining -37.70%, a shrinking business
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Very expensive at 13.3x annual revenue
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Fairly priced relative to book value
Moderate institutional interest at 44.41%
Supporting Valuation Data
BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 18/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 8 metrics analyzed, 0 register as strengths (avg 0/10) while 8 fall into concern territory (avg 2.4/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
Limited fundamental strengths were identified. The bull case requires improvement in core metrics.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (13.35), Price/Book (2.79) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -37.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -96.70%, Operating Margin at -76.70%, Profit Margin at -230.20%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -96.70% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -37.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
BBAI Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
BBAI's Price-to-Sales ratio of 13.35x trades at a 26% premium to its historical average of 10.61x (65th percentile). The current valuation is 58% below its historical high of 31.48x set in Apr 2022, and 530% above its historical low of 2.12x in Dec 2022. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~8.8x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
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Data-driven financial summary for BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI) · TECHNOLOGY › INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
The Big Picture
BigBearai Holdings Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 128M with 38% decline year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -230.2% profit margin.
Key Findings
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 indicates a conservative balance sheet with 457M in cash.
Revenue contracted 38% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
The company is unprofitable with a -230.2% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
What to Watch Next
Volatility is elevated with a beta of 3.25, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.
Sector dynamics: monitor INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact BigBearai Holdings Inc.
Bottom Line
BigBearai Holdings Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(12 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
BRADEN, PAMELA JOYCE Director | Sell | -80,000 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
HAYES, DOROTHY D Director | Sell | -17,000 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
MCALEENAN, KEVIN Director, Chief Executive Officer | Sell | -48,691 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 10:05:34 AM
About BigBearai Holdings Inc(BBAI)
NYSE
TECHNOLOGY
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICE...
USA
BigBearai Holdings Inc. is a leading provider of advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning solutions, specifically designed for the defense and intelligence sectors. The company utilizes cutting-edge analytics and sovereign data solutions to optimize operational efficiency and support critical decision-making for its clients. With a strong emphasis on innovation and proprietary technology integration, BigBearai enhances agility for organizations addressing complex challenges in national security and various commercial applications. As the demand for AI-driven insights continues to rise, BigBearai is strategically positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities, making it an attractive investment for institutional investors looking for exposure in the burgeoning AI sector.