WallStSmart

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Blue Bird Corp stock (BLBD) is currently trading at $56.33. Blue Bird Corp PE ratio is 13.49. Blue Bird Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.13. Analyst consensus price target for BLBD is $69.29. WallStSmart rates BLBD as Hold.

  • BLBD PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • BLBD PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • BLBD intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • BLBD stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • BLBD fair value vs current price
  • BLBD insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is BLBD undervalued or overvalued?
  • Blue Bird Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • BLBD Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • BLBD analyst price target and Smart Rating
BLBD

Blue Bird Corp

NASDAQINDUSTRIALS
$56.33
$1.04 (1.88%)
52W$30.04
$62.90
Target$69.29+23.0%

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IV

BLBD Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

Margin of Safety
+32.7%
Strong Buy Zone
BLBD Fair Value
$85.85
Graham Formula
Current Price
$56.33
$29.52 below fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $85.85
Overvalued
Price $56.33
Graham IV $85.85
Analyst $69.29

BLBD trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $85.85, offering a 33% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

58
out of 100
Grade: C
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, return on equity, price/sales. Concerns around price/book. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
57.50%10/10

Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $57 in profit

Institutional Own.Quality
115.81%10/10

115.81% of shares held by major funds and institutions

PEG RatioValuation
1.138/10

Good growth relative to its price

Price/SalesValuation
1.138/10

Paying $1.13 for every $1 of annual revenue

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
13.49
Undervalued
Forward P/E
12.95
Attractive
Trailing P/E
13.49
Undervalued
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.127
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.024
Undervalued
BLBD Target Price
$69.29
28% Upside

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Areas to Watch (6)

Avg Score: 3.8/10
Price/BookValuation
6.222/10

Very expensive at 6.2x book value

Operating MarginProfitability
11.30%4/10

Thin operating margins with cost pressures present

Revenue GrowthGrowth
6.10%4/10

Modest revenue growth at 6.10%

EPS GrowthGrowth
9.30%4/10

Modest earnings growth at 9.30%

Profit MarginProfitability
8.65%4/10

Thin profit margins with limited profitability

Market CapQuality
$1.69B5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 58/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 3.8/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Institutional Own., PEG Ratio. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.13), Price/Sales (1.13) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 57.50%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Price/Book, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (6.22) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 6.10%, EPS Growth at 9.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 11.30%, Profit Margin at 8.65%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Price/Book improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 57.50% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 6.10% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Price/Book, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

BLBD Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

BLBD's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.13x trades 63% above its historical average of 0.69x (92th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 29% below its historical high of 1.59x set in May 2024, and 276% above its historical low of 0.3x in Feb 2016. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~0.8x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) · INDUSTRIALSFARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY

The Big Picture

Blue Bird Corp operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 1.5B with 6% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 8.7%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 5750.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 31M in free cash flow and 37M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Blue Bird Corp push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Sector dynamics: monitor FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Blue Bird Corp.

Bottom Line

Blue Bird Corp offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Blue Bird Corp(BLBD)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACH...

Country

USA

Blue Bird Corporation designs, designs, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.