WallStSmart

Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Centerra Gold Inc stock (CGAU) is currently trading at $16.38. Centerra Gold Inc PE ratio is 5.57. Centerra Gold Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.29. Analyst consensus price target for CGAU is $16.75. WallStSmart rates CGAU as Buy.

  • CGAU PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • CGAU PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • CGAU intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • CGAU stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • CGAU fair value vs current price
  • CGAU insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is CGAU undervalued or overvalued?
  • Centerra Gold Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • CGAU Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • CGAU analyst price target and Smart Rating
CGAU

Centerra Gold Inc

NYSEBASIC MATERIALS
$16.38
$0.01 (0.06%)
52W$5.30
$21.11
Target$16.75+2.3%

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IV

CGAU Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU)

Margin of Safety
+85.1%
Strong Buy Zone
CGAU Fair Value
$132.91
Graham Formula
Current Price
$16.38
$116.53 below fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $132.91
Overvalued
Price $16.38
Graham IV $132.91
Analyst $16.75

CGAU trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $132.91, offering a 85% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

80
out of 100
Grade: A-
Exceptional Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in return on equity, operating margin, price/book. Overall metrics suggest strong investment potential with favorable risk/reward.

Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) Key Strengths (8)

Avg Score: 9.4/10
Return on EquityProfitability
31.40%10/10

Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $31 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
90.10%10/10

Keeps $90 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs

Revenue GrowthGrowth
32.80%10/10

Revenue surging 32.80% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
991.00%10/10

Earnings per share surging 991.00% year-over-year

Profit MarginProfitability
42.20%10/10

Keeps $42 of every $100 in revenue as net profit

Institutional Own.Quality
90.06%10/10

90.06% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Price/BookValuation
1.548/10

Trading at 1.54x book value, attractively priced

Market CapQuality
$3.16B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
5.57
Undervalued
Forward P/E
7.03
Attractive
Trailing P/E
5.57
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.906
Undervalued

Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) Areas to Watch (1)

Avg Score: 6.0/10
Price/SalesValuation
2.296/10

Revenue is fairly priced at 2.29x sales

Supporting Valuation Data

CGAU Target Price
$16.75
8% Downside

Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 80/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a A- grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 8 register as strengths (avg 9.4/10) while 1 fall into concern territory (avg 6.0/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (1.54) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 31.40%, Operating Margin at 90.10%, Profit Margin at 42.20%. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 32.80%, EPS Growth at 991.00%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (2.29) suggest expensive pricing.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Price/Sales improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 31.40% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 32.80% strong but requiring continuation.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

The combination of Return on Equity and Operating Margin makes a compelling case at current levels. The key risk is Price/Sales, but the overall fundamental picture is positive with a clear path to maintaining or improving the current A- grade.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

CGAU Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

CGAU's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.29x trades 60% above its historical average of 1.43x (91th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 27% below its historical high of 3.12x set in Feb 2026, and 231% above its historical low of 0.69x in Oct 2018. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.1x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) · BASIC MATERIALSGOLD

The Big Picture

Centerra Gold Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 1.4B with 33% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 42.2%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Strong Revenue Growth

Revenue growing at 33% YoY, reaching 1.4B. This pace significantly outperforms most GOLD peers.

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 3140.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

What to Watch Next

Growth sustainability: can Centerra Gold Inc maintain 33%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 123.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor GOLD industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Centerra Gold Inc.

Bottom Line

Centerra Gold Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (33% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Centerra Gold Inc(CGAU)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

BASIC MATERIALS

Industry

GOLD

Country

USA

Centerra Gold Inc., a gold mining company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and operation of gold and copper properties in North America, Asia and internationally. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.