Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc stock (CGBD) is currently trading at $11.21. Carlyle Secured Lending Inc PE ratio is 10.86. Carlyle Secured Lending Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 3.13. Analyst consensus price target for CGBD is $12.64. WallStSmart rates CGBD as Hold.
- CGBD PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- CGBD PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- CGBD intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- CGBD stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- CGBD fair value vs current price
- CGBD insider transactions and insider buying
- Is CGBD undervalued or overvalued?
- Carlyle Secured Lending Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- CGBD Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- CGBD analyst price target and Smart Rating
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
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CGBD Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD)
CGBD trades 77% above its Graham fair value of $6.87, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/book, profit margin. Concerns around peg ratio and return on equity. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) Key Strengths (3)
Keeps $75 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Keeps $27 of every $100 in revenue as net profit
Supporting Valuation Data
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) Areas to Watch (7)
Earnings declining -40.50%, profits shrinking
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Low profitability relative to shareholder equity
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Revenue is fairly priced at 3.13x sales
Solid revenue growth at 18.70% per year
Moderate institutional interest at 39.32%
Supporting Valuation Data
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 59/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 4.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Operating Margin, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (0.66) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 74.50%, Profit Margin at 27.40%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (3.54), Price/Sales (3.13) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 18.70%, EPS Growth at -40.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 6.75%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 6.75% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 18.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Operating Margin, Price/Book) and negatives (EPS Growth, PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
CGBD Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
CGBD's Price-to-Sales ratio of 3.13x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 13.64x (2th percentile). The current valuation is 95% below its historical high of 60.1x set in Oct 2021, and 2% above its historical low of 3.07x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~7.3x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) · FINANCIAL SERVICES › ASSET MANAGEMENT
The Big Picture
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 256M with 19% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 27.4%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
ROE of 675.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Profit margin of 27.4% and operating margin of 74.5% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.
Earnings fell 41% YoY while revenue grew 19%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 14.3%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Debt management: total debt of 1.3B is significantly higher than cash (52M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor ASSET MANAGEMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.
Bottom Line
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (19% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Carlyle Secured Lending Inc(CGBD)
NASDAQ
FINANCIAL SERVICES
ASSET MANAGEMENT
USA
TCG BDC, Inc. is a closed undiversified investment company. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.