WallStSmart

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Casella Waste Systems Inc stock (CWST) is currently trading at $76.43. Casella Waste Systems Inc PE ratio is 636.92. Casella Waste Systems Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.64. Analyst consensus price target for CWST is $113.50. WallStSmart rates CWST as Underperform.

  • CWST PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • CWST PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • CWST intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • CWST stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • CWST fair value vs current price
  • CWST insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is CWST undervalued or overvalued?
  • Casella Waste Systems Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • CWST Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • CWST analyst price target and Smart Rating
CWST

Casella Waste Systems Inc

NASDAQINDUSTRIALS
$76.43
$0.37 (0.49%)
52W$74.05
$121.24
Target$113.50+48.5%

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IV

CWST Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST)

Margin of Safety
-1810.0%
Significantly Overvalued
CWST Fair Value
$5.62
Graham Formula
Current Price
$76.43
$70.81 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $5.62
Overvalued
Price $76.43
Graham IV $5.62
Analyst $113.50

CWST trades 1810% above its Graham fair value of $5.62, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

45
out of 100
Grade: D+
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in eps growth, institutional own.. Concerns around peg ratio and return on equity. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) Key Strengths (3)

Avg Score: 9.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
60.20%10/10

Earnings per share surging 60.20% year-over-year

Institutional Own.Quality
126.95%10/10

126.95% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Market CapQuality
$4.85B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Supporting Valuation Data

CWST Target Price
$113.5
16% Upside

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) Areas to Watch (7)

Avg Score: 2.9/10
Return on EquityProfitability
0.51%1/10

Very low returns on shareholder equity

Operating MarginProfitability
4.43%1/10

Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure

PEG RatioValuation
3.292/10

Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium

Profit MarginProfitability
0.43%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

Price/BookValuation
3.104/10

Premium pricing at 3.1x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
9.70%4/10

Modest revenue growth at 9.70%

Price/SalesValuation
2.646/10

Revenue is fairly priced at 2.64x sales

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
636.92
Overvalued
Forward P/E
88.5
Expensive
Trailing P/E
636.92
Overvalued

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 45/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 2.9/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on EPS Growth, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 60.20%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, PEG Ratio. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (3.29), Price/Sales (2.64), Price/Book (3.10) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 9.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 0.51%, Operating Margin at 4.43%, Profit Margin at 0.43%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 0.51% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 9.70% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

CWST Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

CWST's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.64x trades 122% above its historical average of 1.19x (90th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 22% below its historical high of 3.41x set in Nov 2018, and 1291% above its historical low of 0.19x in Apr 2009. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~3.2x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) · INDUSTRIALSWASTE MANAGEMENT

The Big Picture

Casella Waste Systems Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 1.8B with 10% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 0.4%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.

Key Findings

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 39M in free cash flow and 97M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Low Return on Equity

ROE of 0.5% suggests the company isn't efficiently converting equity into profits.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Casella Waste Systems Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 636.9x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.

Sector dynamics: monitor WASTE MANAGEMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Casella Waste Systems Inc.

Bottom Line

Casella Waste Systems Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Casella Waste Systems Inc(CWST)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

WASTE MANAGEMENT

Country

USA

Casella Waste Systems, Inc., is a vertically integrated solid waste service company in the northeastern United States. The company is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.