WallStSmart

Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Ecopetrol SA ADR stock (EC) is currently trading at $14.90. Ecopetrol SA ADR PE ratio is 12.35. Ecopetrol SA ADR PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.96. Analyst consensus price target for EC is $10.57. WallStSmart rates EC as Underperform.

  • EC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • EC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • EC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • EC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • EC fair value vs current price
  • EC insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is EC undervalued or overvalued?
  • Ecopetrol SA ADR financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • EC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • EC analyst price target and Smart Rating
EC

Ecopetrol SA ADR

NYSEENERGY
$14.90
$0.33 (2.26%)
52W$6.97
$15.37
Target$10.57-29.1%

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IV

EC Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC)

Margin of Safety
-52.4%
Significantly Overvalued
EC Fair Value
$8.02
Graham Formula
Current Price
$14.90
$6.88 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $8.02
Overvalued
Price $14.90
Graham IV $8.02
Analyst $10.57

EC trades 52% above its Graham fair value of $8.02, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

50
out of 100
Grade: D+
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, price/sales. Concerns around revenue growth and eps growth. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 9.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.7710/10

Growing significantly faster than its price suggests

Price/SalesValuation
0.9610/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Market CapQuality
$31.26B9/10

Large-cap company with substantial market presence

Price/BookValuation
1.378/10

Trading at 1.37x book value, attractively priced

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
12.35
Undervalued
Forward P/E
9.12
Attractive
Trailing P/E
12.35
Undervalued
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.959
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.726
Undervalued

Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 2.2/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-17.20%0/10

Revenue declining -17.20%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-60.80%0/10

Earnings declining -60.80%, profits shrinking

Institutional Own.Quality
1.14%2/10

Very low institutional interest at 1.14%

Profit MarginProfitability
7.54%4/10

Thin profit margins with limited profitability

Return on EquityProfitability
11.80%5/10

Moderate profitability with room for improvement

Supporting Valuation Data

EC Target Price
$10.57
16% Downside

Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 50/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Sales, Market Cap. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.77), Price/Sales (0.96), Price/Book (1.37) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Institutional Own.. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -17.20%, EPS Growth at -60.80%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 11.80%, Profit Margin at 7.54%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 11.80% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -17.20% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (PEG Ratio, Price/Sales) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

EC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

EC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.96x trades 3097% above its historical average of 0.03x (99th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 0% below its historical high of 0.96x set in Mar 2026, and Infinity% above its historical low of 0x in Sep 2022. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~0.0x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) · ENERGYOIL & GAS INTEGRATED

The Big Picture

Ecopetrol SA ADR operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 125.7T with 17% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 7.5%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 1180.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 3.3T in free cash flow and 6.6T in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 17% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Ecopetrol SA ADR push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 16.4%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Debt management: total debt of 114.3T is significantly higher than cash (10.4T). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS INTEGRATED industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Ecopetrol SA ADR.

Bottom Line

Ecopetrol SA ADR offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Ecopetrol SA ADR(EC)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

ENERGY

Industry

OIL & GAS INTEGRATED

Country

USA

Ecopetrol SA is an integrated oil and gas company. The company is headquartered in Bogot, Colombia.