Empire State Realty Trust Inc (ESRT) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Empire State Realty Trust Inc stock (ESRT) is currently trading at $5.01. Empire State Realty Trust Inc PE ratio is 20.32. Empire State Realty Trust Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.96. Analyst consensus price target for ESRT is $7.26. WallStSmart rates ESRT as Hold.
- ESRT PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- ESRT PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- ESRT intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- ESRT stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- ESRT fair value vs current price
- ESRT insider transactions and insider buying
- Is ESRT undervalued or overvalued?
- Empire State Realty Trust Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- ESRT Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- ESRT analyst price target and Smart Rating
Empire State Realty Trust Inc
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ESRT Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Empire State Realty Trust Inc (ESRT)
ESRT trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $11.70, offering a 45% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Empire State Realty Trust Inc (ESRT) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, eps growth. Concerns around peg ratio and return on equity. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Empire State Realty Trust Inc (ESRT) Key Strengths (4)
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Earnings per share surging 75.40% year-over-year
102.78% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Paying $1.96 for every $1 of annual revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
Empire State Realty Trust Inc (ESRT) Areas to Watch (6)
Very low returns on shareholder equity
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Revenue growing slowly at 0.80% annually
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional
Supporting Valuation Data
Empire State Realty Trust Inc (ESRT) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 59/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.5/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 3.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.96), Price/Book (0.83) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 75.40%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (37.36) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 0.80%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 4.05%, Operating Margin at 17.80%, Profit Margin at 6.20%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 4.05% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 0.80% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Book, EPS Growth) and negatives (Return on Equity, PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
ESRT Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
ESRT's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.96x trades 47% below its historical average of 3.68x (19th percentile). The current valuation is 80% below its historical high of 9.91x set in Dec 2013, and 57% above its historical low of 1.25x in Oct 2020. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.7x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Empire State Realty Trust Inc (ESRT) · REAL ESTATE › REIT - DIVERSIFIED
The Big Picture
Empire State Realty Trust Inc is in a high-growth phase, prioritizing rapid expansion over margins. Revenue reached 768M with 80% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 6.2%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Revenue growing at 80% YoY, reaching 768M. This pace significantly outperforms most REIT - DIVERSIFIED peers.
ROE of 405.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Free cash flow is -8M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Empire State Realty Trust Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Growth sustainability: can Empire State Realty Trust Inc maintain 80%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?
Debt management: total debt of 2.5B is significantly higher than cash (167M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor REIT - DIVERSIFIED industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Empire State Realty Trust Inc.
Bottom Line
Empire State Realty Trust Inc is a high-conviction growth story with revenue accelerating at 80% while profitability is still developing. For growth-oriented investors, the trajectory is compelling. For value investors, the thin 6.2% margins and premium valuation suggest patience until the unit economics mature further.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Empire State Realty Trust Inc(ESRT)
NYSE
REAL ESTATE
REIT - DIVERSIFIED
USA
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: ESRT), a major real estate investment trust (REIT), owns, manages, operates, acquires and repositions offices and retail properties in Manhattan and the New York metropolitan area, including the Empire State Building, the?