Ferguson Plc (FERG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Ferguson Plc stock (FERG) is currently trading at $228.84. Ferguson Plc PE ratio is 25.44. Ferguson Plc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.47. Analyst consensus price target for FERG is $261.65. WallStSmart rates FERG as Hold.
- FERG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- FERG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- FERG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- FERG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- FERG fair value vs current price
- FERG insider transactions and insider buying
- Is FERG undervalued or overvalued?
- Ferguson Plc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- FERG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- FERG analyst price target and Smart Rating
Ferguson
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FERG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Ferguson Plc (FERG)
FERG trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $445.00, offering a 40% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Ferguson Plc (FERG) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, return on equity, price/sales. Concerns around operating margin and price/book. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Ferguson Plc (FERG) Key Strengths (5)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $33 in profit
95.89% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Paying $1.47 for every $1 of annual revenue
Strong earnings growth at 23.90% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
Ferguson Plc (FERG) Areas to Watch (5)
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Very expensive at 7.5x book value
Modest revenue growth at 5.10%
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive
Supporting Valuation Data
Ferguson Plc (FERG) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 61/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 3.6/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.47) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 33.40%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 23.90%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.55), Price/Book (7.45) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 5.10%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 9.38%, Profit Margin at 6.28%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 33.40% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 5.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Operating Margin, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
FERG Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
FERG's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.47x trades at a 46% premium to its historical average of 1.01x (90th percentile). The current valuation is 11% below its historical high of 1.65x set in Dec 2021, and 173% above its historical low of 0.54x in Mar 2020. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.1x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
Compare FERG with Competitors
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Data-driven financial summary for Ferguson Plc (FERG) · INDUSTRIALS › INDUSTRIAL DISTRIBUTION
The Big Picture
Ferguson Plc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 31.2B with 5% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 6.3%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 3340.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Free cash flow is -552M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Ferguson Plc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor INDUSTRIAL DISTRIBUTION industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Ferguson Plc.
Bottom Line
Ferguson Plc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Ferguson Plc(FERG)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
INDUSTRIAL DISTRIBUTION
USA
Ferguson plc distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada and Central Europe. The company is headquartered in Wokingham, the United Kingdom.