Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock (FLY) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock stock (FLY) is currently trading at $27.53. Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 23.74. Analyst consensus price target for FLY is $37.14. WallStSmart rates FLY as Sell.
- FLY PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- FLY PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- FLY intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- FLY stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- FLY fair value vs current price
- FLY insider transactions and insider buying
- Is FLY undervalued or overvalued?
- Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- FLY Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- FLY analyst price target and Smart Rating
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
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Smart Analysis
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock (FLY) · 8 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in revenue growth. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock (FLY) Key Strengths (2)
Revenue surging 538.00% year-over-year
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock (FLY) Areas to Watch (6)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Losing money on operations
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Very expensive at 23.7x annual revenue
Premium pricing at 3.9x book value
Moderate institutional interest at 37.74%
Supporting Valuation Data
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock (FLY) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 27/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 8 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 8.5/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 2.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Revenue Growth, Market Cap. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 538.00%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Profit Margin. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (23.74), Price/Book (3.90) suggest expensive pricing. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -56.50%, Operating Margin at -98.20%, Profit Margin at -208.90%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -56.50% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 538.00% strong but requiring continuation.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
FLY Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
FLY's Price-to-Sales ratio of 23.74x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 50.02x (7th percentile). The current valuation is 80% below its historical high of 118.85x set in Aug 2025, and 3% above its historical low of 23.13x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~118.9x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock (FLY) · INDUSTRIALS › AEROSPACE & DEFENSE
The Big Picture
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock is in a high-growth phase, prioritizing rapid expansion over margins. Revenue reached 160M with 538% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -208.9% profit margin.
Key Findings
Revenue growing at 538% YoY, reaching 160M. This pace significantly outperforms most AEROSPACE & DEFENSE peers.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 indicates a conservative balance sheet with 996M in cash.
The company is unprofitable with a -208.9% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
Free cash flow is -79M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Growth sustainability: can Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock maintain 538%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?
Sector dynamics: monitor AEROSPACE & DEFENSE industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock.
Bottom Line
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock is a high-conviction growth story with revenue accelerating at 538% while profitability is still developing. For growth-oriented investors, the trajectory is compelling. For value investors, the thin -208.9% margins and premium valuation suggest patience until the unit economics mature further.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 11:40:15 AM
About Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock(FLY)
NASDAQ
INDUSTRIALS
AEROSPACE & DEFENSE
USA
Fly Leasing Limited, buys and leases commercial aircraft under multi-year contracts to various airlines worldwide. The company is headquartered in Dun Laoghaire, Ireland.