Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Great Elm Capital Corp stock (GECC) is currently trading at $4.97. Great Elm Capital Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.37. Analyst consensus price target for GECC is $7.00. WallStSmart rates GECC as Underperform.
- GECC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- GECC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- GECC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- GECC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- GECC fair value vs current price
- GECC insider transactions and insider buying
- Is GECC undervalued or overvalued?
- Great Elm Capital Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- GECC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- GECC analyst price target and Smart Rating
Great Elm Capital Corp
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Smart Analysis
Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around market cap and return on equity. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) Key Strengths (4)
Keeps $71 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Revenue surging 37.60% year-over-year
Paying $1.37 for every $1 of annual revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) Areas to Watch (5)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Earnings declining -68.60%, profits shrinking
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Very low institutional interest at 14.28%
Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility
Supporting Valuation Data
Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 46/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.5/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 1.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Operating Margin, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.37), Price/Book (0.61) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 71.30%. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 37.60%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Growth concerns include EPS Growth at -68.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -25.50%, Profit Margin at -63.60%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -25.50% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 37.60% strong but requiring continuation.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
GECC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
GECC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.37x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 97.92x (1th percentile). The current valuation is 100% below its historical high of 309.72x set in Mar 2022, and 1% above its historical low of 1.36x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~3.7x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) · FINANCIAL SERVICES › ASSET MANAGEMENT
The Big Picture
Great Elm Capital Corp is in a high-growth phase, prioritizing rapid expansion over margins. Revenue reached 50M with 38% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -63.6% profit margin.
Key Findings
Revenue growing at 38% YoY, reaching 50M. This pace significantly outperforms most ASSET MANAGEMENT peers.
Generating 6M in free cash flow and 6M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
The company is unprofitable with a -63.6% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
Earnings fell 69% YoY while revenue grew 38%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Growth sustainability: can Great Elm Capital Corp maintain 38%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 29.8%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Debt management: total debt of 200M is significantly higher than cash (0). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor ASSET MANAGEMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Great Elm Capital Corp.
Bottom Line
Great Elm Capital Corp is a high-conviction growth story with revenue accelerating at 38% while profitability is still developing. For growth-oriented investors, the trajectory is compelling. For value investors, the thin -63.6% margins and premium valuation suggest patience until the unit economics mature further.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(0 last 3 months)
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:25:28 AM
About Great Elm Capital Corp(GECC)
NASDAQ
FINANCIAL SERVICES
ASSET MANAGEMENT
USA
Great Elm Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in loans and mezzanines, mid-market investments.