WallStSmart

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Genius Sports Ltd stock (GENI) is currently trading at $4.60. Genius Sports Ltd PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.77. Analyst consensus price target for GENI is $11.76. WallStSmart rates GENI as Sell.

  • GENI PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • GENI PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • GENI intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • GENI stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • GENI fair value vs current price
  • GENI insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is GENI undervalued or overvalued?
  • Genius Sports Ltd financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • GENI Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • GENI analyst price target and Smart Rating
GENI

Genius Sports

NYSECOMMUNICATION SERVICES
$4.60
$0.06 (1.32%)
52W$4.43
$13.73
Target$11.76+155.7%

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WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) · 8 metrics scored

Smart Score

41
out of 100
Grade: D
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, revenue growth. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 9.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
37.00%10/10

Revenue surging 37.00% year-over-year

Institutional Own.Quality
95.42%10/10

95.42% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Price/SalesValuation
1.778/10

Paying $1.77 for every $1 of annual revenue

Price/BookValuation
1.618/10

Trading at 1.61x book value, attractively priced

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
1.768
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.371
Undervalued
GENI Target Price
$11.76
63% Upside

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) Areas to Watch (4)

Avg Score: 1.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-17.20%0/10

Company is destroying shareholder value

Operating MarginProfitability
-18.10%0/10

Losing money on operations

Profit MarginProfitability
-16.70%0/10

Company is losing money with a negative profit margin

Market CapQuality
$1.18B5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
56.82
Expensive

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 41/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 8 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 1.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Revenue Growth, Institutional Own., Price/Sales. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.77), Price/Book (1.61) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 37.00%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Profit Margin. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -17.20%, Operating Margin at -18.10%, Profit Margin at -16.70%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -17.20% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 37.00% strong but requiring continuation.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

GENI Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

GENI's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.77x sits near its historical average of 1.98x (14th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 28% below its historical high of 2.45x set in Mar 2026, and 2% above its historical low of 1.74x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~2.5x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

Compare GENI with Competitors

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) · COMMUNICATION SERVICESINTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION

The Big Picture

Genius Sports Ltd is in a high-growth phase, prioritizing rapid expansion over margins. Revenue reached 669M with 37% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -16.7% profit margin.

Key Findings

Strong Revenue Growth

Revenue growing at 37% YoY, reaching 669M. This pace significantly outperforms most INTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION peers.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 84M in free cash flow and 89M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Operating at a Loss

The company is unprofitable with a -16.7% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.

What to Watch Next

Growth sustainability: can Genius Sports Ltd maintain 37%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?

Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.99, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.

Sector dynamics: monitor INTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Genius Sports Ltd.

Bottom Line

Genius Sports Ltd is a high-conviction growth story with revenue accelerating at 37% while profitability is still developing. For growth-oriented investors, the trajectory is compelling. For value investors, the thin -16.7% margins and premium valuation suggest patience until the unit economics mature further.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Genius Sports Ltd(GENI)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

Industry

INTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION

Country

USA

Genius Sports Limited develops and sells technology-based products and services for the sports, sports betting and sports media industries. The company is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.