WallStSmart

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Green Brick Partners Inc stock (GRBK) is currently trading at $64.01. Green Brick Partners Inc PE ratio is 8.94. Green Brick Partners Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.31. Analyst consensus price target for GRBK is $62.00. WallStSmart rates GRBK as Hold.

  • GRBK PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • GRBK PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • GRBK intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • GRBK stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • GRBK fair value vs current price
  • GRBK insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is GRBK undervalued or overvalued?
  • Green Brick Partners Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • GRBK Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • GRBK analyst price target and Smart Rating
GRBK

Green Brick Partners Inc

NYSECONSUMER CYCLICAL
$64.01
$0.78 (1.23%)
52W$50.57
$80.97
Target$62.00-3.1%

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IV

GRBK Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK)

Margin of Safety
-60.8%
Significantly Overvalued
GRBK Fair Value
$48.08
Graham Formula
Current Price
$64.01
$15.93 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $48.08
Overvalued
Price $64.01
Graham IV $48.08
Analyst $62.00

GRBK trades 61% above its Graham fair value of $48.08, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

60
out of 100
Grade: C
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around revenue growth and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) Key Strengths (6)

Avg Score: 8.0/10
Institutional Own.Quality
80.18%10/10

80.18% of shares held by major funds and institutions

PEG RatioValuation
1.158/10

Good growth relative to its price

Price/SalesValuation
1.318/10

Paying $1.31 for every $1 of annual revenue

Price/BookValuation
1.468/10

Trading at 1.46x book value, attractively priced

Market CapQuality
$2.75B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Return on EquityProfitability
18.90%7/10

Solid profitability: $19 profit per $100 equity

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
8.94
Undervalued
Forward P/E
9.96
Attractive
Trailing P/E
8.94
Undervalued
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.313
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.366
Undervalued

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) Areas to Watch (4)

Avg Score: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-2.60%0/10

Revenue declining -2.60%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-23.00%0/10

Earnings declining -23.00%, profits shrinking

Operating MarginProfitability
18.70%6/10

Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional

Profit MarginProfitability
14.90%6/10

Decent profitability, keeps $15 per $100 revenue

Supporting Valuation Data

GRBK Target Price
$62
14% Downside

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 60/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 6 register as strengths (avg 8.0/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 3.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., PEG Ratio, Price/Sales. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.15), Price/Sales (1.31), Price/Book (1.46) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 18.90%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Operating Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -2.60%, EPS Growth at -23.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 18.70%, Profit Margin at 14.90%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 18.90% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -2.60% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., PEG Ratio) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

GRBK Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

GRBK's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.31x sits near its historical average of 1.39x (14th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 14% below its historical high of 1.53x set in Mar 2026, and 3% above its historical low of 1.27x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.5x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) · CONSUMER CYCLICALRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION

The Big Picture

Green Brick Partners Inc faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 2.1B with 3% decline year-over-year. Profit margins of 14.9% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.

Key Findings

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 78M in free cash flow and 80M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Green Brick Partners Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.98, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.

Sector dynamics: monitor RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Green Brick Partners Inc.

Bottom Line

Green Brick Partners Inc faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(34 last 3 months)

Total Buys
15
Total Sells
19

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 10:09:22 AM

About Green Brick Partners Inc(GRBK)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Industry

RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION

Country

USA

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a home construction and land development company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Plano, Texas.