Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Warrior Met Coal Inc stock (HCC) is currently trading at $96.83. Warrior Met Coal Inc PE ratio is 88.50. Warrior Met Coal Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 3.85. Analyst consensus price target for HCC is $105.17. WallStSmart rates HCC as Underperform.
- HCC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- HCC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- HCC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- HCC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- HCC fair value vs current price
- HCC insider transactions and insider buying
- Is HCC undervalued or overvalued?
- Warrior Met Coal Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- HCC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- HCC analyst price target and Smart Rating
Warrior Met Coal Inc
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HCC Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)
HCC trades 79% above its Graham fair value of $50.54, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in revenue growth, eps growth, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Key Strengths (4)
Earnings per share surging 1918.00% year-over-year
107.39% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Strong revenue growth at 29.40% annually
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Areas to Watch (5)
Very low returns on shareholder equity
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Revenue is fairly priced at 3.85x sales
Fairly priced relative to book value
Supporting Valuation Data
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 3.4/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on EPS Growth, Institutional Own., Revenue Growth. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 29.40%, EPS Growth at 1918.00%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Profit Margin. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (3.85), Price/Book (2.18) suggest expensive pricing. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 2.69%, Operating Margin at 9.01%, Profit Margin at 4.35%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 2.69% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 29.40% strong but requiring continuation.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (EPS Growth, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Return on Equity, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
HCC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
HCC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 3.85x sits near its historical average of 3.42x (86th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 0% below its historical high of 3.85x set in Mar 2026, and 22% above its historical low of 3.16x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~3.3x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) · BASIC MATERIALS › COKING COAL
The Big Picture
Warrior Met Coal Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 1.3B with 29% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 4.3%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Revenue growing at 29% YoY, reaching 1.3B. This pace significantly outperforms most COKING COAL peers.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 indicates a conservative balance sheet with 300M in cash.
ROE of 2.7% suggests the company isn't efficiently converting equity into profits.
Profit margin at 4.3% is thin. While this is common for high-growth companies, margins need to expand as growth naturally decelerates.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Warrior Met Coal Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Growth sustainability: can Warrior Met Coal Inc maintain 29%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?
Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 88.5x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.
Sector dynamics: monitor COKING COAL industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Warrior Met Coal Inc.
Bottom Line
Warrior Met Coal Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (29% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Warrior Met Coal Inc(HCC)
NYSE
BASIC MATERIALS
COKING COAL
USA
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports non-thermal metallurgical coal for the steel industry. The company is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.