Heritage Global Inc (HGBL) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Heritage Global Inc stock (HGBL) is currently trading at $1.39. Heritage Global Inc PE ratio is 13.10. Heritage Global Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.89. Analyst consensus price target for HGBL is $3.42. WallStSmart rates HGBL as Underperform.
- HGBL PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- HGBL PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- HGBL intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- HGBL stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- HGBL fair value vs current price
- HGBL insider transactions and insider buying
- Is HGBL undervalued or overvalued?
- Heritage Global Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- HGBL Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- HGBL analyst price target and Smart Rating
Heritage Global Inc
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HGBL Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Heritage Global Inc (HGBL)
HGBL trades 96% above its Graham fair value of $0.68, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Heritage Global Inc (HGBL) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book. Concerns around market cap and peg ratio. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Heritage Global Inc (HGBL) Key Strengths (2)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Supporting Valuation Data
Heritage Global Inc (HGBL) Areas to Watch (8)
Earnings declining -43.10%, profits shrinking
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility
Low profitability relative to shareholder equity
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Solid revenue growth at 10.10% per year
Moderate institutional interest at 40.43%
Heritage Global Inc (HGBL) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 49/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 8 fall into concern territory (avg 3.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.89), Price/Book (0.64) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (3.60) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 10.10%, EPS Growth at -43.10%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 5.43%, Operating Margin at 7.29%, Profit Margin at 7.04%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 5.43% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 10.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. EPS Growth and PEG Ratio are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
HGBL Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
HGBL's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.89x trades 40% below its historical average of 1.48x (31th percentile). The current valuation is 85% below its historical high of 5.81x set in Aug 2020, and 231% above its historical low of 0.27x in Mar 2016. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.7x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Heritage Global Inc (HGBL) · FINANCIAL SERVICES › CAPITAL MARKETS
The Big Picture
Heritage Global Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 51M with 10% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 7.0%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 543.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 971,000 in free cash flow and 2M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Earnings fell 43% YoY while revenue grew 10%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Heritage Global Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor CAPITAL MARKETS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Heritage Global Inc.
Bottom Line
Heritage Global Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(3 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SKLAR, JAMES EDWARD EVP, Gen Counsel & Secretary | Sell | -3,734 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SKLAR, JAMES EDWARD EVP, Gen Counsel & Secretary | Sell | -3,734 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SKLAR, JAMES EDWARD EVP, Gen Counsel & Secretary | Sell | -3,734 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:27:42 AM
About Heritage Global Inc(HGBL)
NASDAQ
FINANCIAL SERVICES
CAPITAL MARKETS
USA
Heritage Global, Inc. is an asset services company with a focus on financial and industrial asset transactions. The company is headquartered in San Diego, California.