WallStSmart

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Hillman Solutions Corp stock (HLMN) is currently trading at $8.37. Hillman Solutions Corp PE ratio is 38.80. Hillman Solutions Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.99. Analyst consensus price target for HLMN is $11.94. WallStSmart rates HLMN as Underperform.

  • HLMN PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • HLMN PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • HLMN intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • HLMN stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • HLMN fair value vs current price
  • HLMN insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is HLMN undervalued or overvalued?
  • Hillman Solutions Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • HLMN Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • HLMN analyst price target and Smart Rating
HLMN

Hillman Solutions Corp

NASDAQINDUSTRIALS
$8.37
$0.27 (3.33%)
52W$6.55
$10.85
Target$11.94+42.7%

📊 No data available

Try selecting a different time range

IV

HLMN Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)

Margin of Safety
-10.0%
Overvalued
HLMN Fair Value
$9.36
Graham Formula
Current Price
$8.37
$0.99 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $9.36
Overvalued
Price $8.37
Graham IV $9.36
Analyst $11.94

HLMN trades 10% above its Graham fair value of $9.36, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, eps growth. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 9.5/10
Price/SalesValuation
0.9910/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

EPS GrowthGrowth
209.70%10/10

Earnings per share surging 209.70% year-over-year

Institutional Own.Quality
105.44%10/10

105.44% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Price/BookValuation
1.248/10

Trading at 1.24x book value, attractively priced

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
12.72
Attractive
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.986
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.458
Undervalued
HLMN Target Price
$11.94
31% Upside

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 2.4/10
Return on EquityProfitability
3.34%1/10

Very low returns on shareholder equity

Operating MarginProfitability
5.16%2/10

Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.50%2/10

Revenue growing slowly at 4.50% annually

Profit MarginProfitability
2.60%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

Market CapQuality
$1.53B5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
38.8
Expensive
Trailing P/E
38.8
Expensive

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.5/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.4/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, EPS Growth, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.99), Price/Book (1.24) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 209.70%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 4.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 3.34%, Operating Margin at 5.16%, Profit Margin at 2.60%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 3.34% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 4.50% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, EPS Growth) and negatives (Return on Equity, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

HLMN Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

HLMN's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.99x sits near its historical average of 1.03x (0th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 6% below its historical high of 1.05x set in Mar 2026, and 0% above its historical low of 0.99x in Mar 2026.

Compare HLMN with Competitors

Top TOOLS & ACCESSORIES stocks by market cap

Compare any two stocks →

WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) · INDUSTRIALSTOOLS & ACCESSORIES

The Big Picture

Hillman Solutions Corp is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 1.6B with 450% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 260.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Strong Revenue Growth

Revenue growing at 450% YoY, reaching 1.6B. This pace significantly outperforms most TOOLS & ACCESSORIES peers.

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 334.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

What to Watch Next

Growth sustainability: can Hillman Solutions Corp maintain 450%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?

Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.70, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.

Debt management: total debt of 828M is significantly higher than cash (27M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor TOOLS & ACCESSORIES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Hillman Solutions Corp.

Bottom Line

Hillman Solutions Corp offers an attractive blend of growth (450% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

Loading insider activity...

About Hillman Solutions Corp(HLMN)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

TOOLS & ACCESSORIES

Country

USA

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) is a leading provider of innovative hardware and home improvement solutions, focusing on fasteners, keys, plumbing products, and identification systems for both professional and retail markets. The company leverages advanced technology and an extensive distribution network to enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction. Hillman's dedication to continuous product innovation and strategic acquisitions positions it for long-term growth in an evolving competitive landscape. As consumer demand for convenience and accessibility rises, Hillman Solutions Corp is well-prepared to adapt and generate significant shareholder value.

Visit Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Website
1280 KEMPER MEADOW DRIVE, CINCINNATI, OH, UNITED STATES, 45240