Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Main Street Capital Corporation stock (MAIN) is currently trading at $54.47. Main Street Capital Corporation PE ratio is 9.87. Main Street Capital Corporation PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 8.67. Analyst consensus price target for MAIN is $63.83. WallStSmart rates MAIN as Hold.
- MAIN PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- MAIN PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- MAIN intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- MAIN stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- MAIN fair value vs current price
- MAIN insider transactions and insider buying
- Is MAIN undervalued or overvalued?
- Main Street Capital Corporation financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- MAIN Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- MAIN analyst price target and Smart Rating
Main Street Capital Corporation
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MAIN Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)
MAIN trades 64% above its Graham fair value of $37.54, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/book, profit margin. Concerns around price/sales and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Key Strengths (5)
Keeps $87 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs
Keeps $87 of every $100 in revenue as net profit
Trading at 1.66x book value, attractively priced
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Solid profitability: $17 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Areas to Watch (5)
Earnings declining -26.00%, profits shrinking
Very expensive at 8.7x annual revenue
Revenue growing slowly at 3.60% annually
Low institutional interest, mostly retail-driven
Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive
Supporting Valuation Data
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.4/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Price/Book. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (1.66) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.00%, Operating Margin at 86.50%, Profit Margin at 87.10%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Price/Sales, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.76), Price/Sales (8.67) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 3.60%, EPS Growth at -26.00%, which may limit upside.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.00% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 3.60% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Operating Margin, Profit Margin) and negatives (EPS Growth, Price/Sales). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
MAIN Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
MAIN's Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.67x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 31.42x (14th percentile). The current valuation is 93% below its historical high of 127.42x set in Nov 2010, and 31% above its historical low of 6.63x in Feb 2024. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~7.0x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) · FINANCIAL SERVICES › ASSET MANAGEMENT
The Big Picture
Main Street Capital Corporation operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 566M with 4% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 87.1%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
Profit margin of 87.1% and operating margin of 86.5% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.
Generating 104M in free cash flow and 104M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 5.5%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor ASSET MANAGEMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Main Street Capital Corporation.
Bottom Line
Main Street Capital Corporation offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(49 last 3 months)
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 2:34:36 PM
About Main Street Capital Corporation(MAIN)
NYSE
FINANCIAL SERVICES
ASSET MANAGEMENT
USA
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is a publicly traded business development company specializing in providing customized debt and equity financing solutions to lower middle-market companies. With a focus on long-term investments, MAIN targets diverse sectors such as manufacturing, healthcare, and business services, aiming to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns for its shareholders. The company's disciplined investment strategy, combined with its extensive industry expertise, positions it favorably in the private equity landscape while fostering growth in its portfolio companies. MAIN is committed to value creation and delivering robust income streams, reflecting its dedication to both investors and the businesses it supports.