MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
MGP Ingredients Inc stock (MGPI) is currently trading at $18.03. MGP Ingredients Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.69. Analyst consensus price target for MGPI is $28.80. WallStSmart rates MGPI as Underperform.
- MGPI PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- MGPI PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- MGPI intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- MGPI stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- MGPI fair value vs current price
- MGPI insider transactions and insider buying
- Is MGPI undervalued or overvalued?
- MGP Ingredients Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- MGPI Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- MGPI analyst price target and Smart Rating
MGP Ingredients Inc
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Smart Analysis
MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around return on equity and revenue growth. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) Key Strengths (4)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
72.51% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Good growth relative to its price
Supporting Valuation Data
MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) Areas to Watch (6)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Revenue declining -23.50%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -33.60%, profits shrinking
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 48/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.5/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 1.5/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.13), Price/Sales (0.69), Price/Book (0.49) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -23.50%, EPS Growth at -33.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -13.90%, Operating Margin at 12.60%, Profit Margin at -20.10%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -13.90% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -23.50% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Revenue Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
MGPI Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
MGPI's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.69x trades 50% below its historical average of 1.37x (45th percentile). The current valuation is 88% below its historical high of 5.82x set in Apr 2018, and 2183% above its historical low of 0.03x in Jan 2009.
Compare MGPI with Competitors
Top BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILLERIES stocks by market cap
Compare any two stocks →WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE › BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILLERIES
The Big Picture
MGP Ingredients Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 536M with 24% decline year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -20.1% profit margin.
Key Findings
Generating 24M in free cash flow and 29M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 24% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
The company is unprofitable with a -20.1% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILLERIES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact MGP Ingredients Inc.
Bottom Line
MGP Ingredients Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(18 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
ROPER, MARTIN Director | Buy | +1,594 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:23:18 AM
About MGP Ingredients Inc(MGPI)
NASDAQ
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILL...
USA
MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits and specialty wheat proteins and starch food ingredients. The company is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.