Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Vail Resorts Inc stock (MTN) is currently trading at $132.06. Vail Resorts Inc PE ratio is 20.70. Vail Resorts Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.59. Analyst consensus price target for MTN is $163.92. WallStSmart rates MTN as Underperform.
- MTN PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- MTN PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- MTN intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- MTN stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- MTN fair value vs current price
- MTN insider transactions and insider buying
- Is MTN undervalued or overvalued?
- Vail Resorts Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- MTN Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- MTN analyst price target and Smart Rating
Vail Resorts Inc
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MTN Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Vail Resorts Inc (MTN)
MTN trades 228% above its Graham fair value of $42.70, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in return on equity, operating margin, price/sales. Concerns around peg ratio and price/book. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Key Strengths (5)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $35 in profit
Keeps $32 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs
121.28% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Paying $1.59 for every $1 of annual revenue
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Areas to Watch (5)
Revenue declining -4.70%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -10.10%, profits shrinking
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Very expensive at 15.3x book value
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 1.6/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.59) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 34.60%, Operating Margin at 32.00%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (3.33), Price/Book (15.35) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -4.70%, EPS Growth at -10.10%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Profit Margin at 7.95%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 34.60% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -4.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Operating Margin) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
MTN Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
MTN's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.59x trades 33% below its historical average of 2.39x (25th percentile). The current valuation is 70% below its historical high of 5.3x set in Aug 2018, and 170% above its historical low of 0.59x in Feb 2009.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › RESORTS & CASINOS
The Big Picture
Vail Resorts Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 2.9B with 5% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 8.0%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 34.6% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 185M in free cash flow and 260M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Vail Resorts Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 6.8%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor RESORTS & CASINOS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Vail Resorts Inc.
Bottom Line
Vail Resorts Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(12 last 3 months)
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 10:06:48 AM
About Vail Resorts Inc(MTN)
NYSE
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
RESORTS & CASINOS
USA
Vail Resorts, Inc. operates mountain resorts and urban ski areas in the United States. The company is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.